Peter Hayes is Honorary Professor, Center for International Security Studies, Sydney University, Australia and Director, Nautilus Institute in Berkeley, California.
He works at the nexus of security, environment and energy policy problems. Best known for innovative cooperative engagement strategies in North Korea, he has developed techniques at Nautilus Institute for seeking near-term solutions to global security and sustainability problems and applied them in East Asia, Australia, and South Asia.
Peter has worked for many international organizations including UN Development Programme, Asian Development Bank, and Global Environment Facility. He was founding director of the Environment Liaison Centre in Kenya in 1975. He has traveled, lived, and worked in Asia, North America, Europe and Africa. He has visited North Korea seven times. He was born in Melbourne Australia; today he is a dual national of Australia and the United States. He is married with two children.
US cell: 1 5107174439
Australia mobile: 61 417576836
1980-1989: Doctorate awarded by Energy and Resources Group, University of California at Berkeley.
1978-1979: Energy and Resources Group, UC Berkeley, Master of Arts in Energy and Resources.
1971-l977: University of Melbourne, Bachelor of Arts.
Current Research Interests
In addition to on-going work on global security and sustainability issues in Asia-Pacific, Peter is developing practical ways to tackle the interrelationships between global problems.
- Cited or interviewed on weekly basis by many mass media including: New York Times, International Herald Tribune, Los Angeles Times, Washington Post, San Francisco Chronicle, Wall Street Journal, Washington Times, Korea Herald, Yomiuri Shimbun, Asahi Shimbun, Sydney Morning Herald, AP Wire Service, Al Jazeera, Reuters Wire Service, CBS Evening News, CSPAN, PBS News Hour, CNN, Fox News, National Public Radio, KQED, Kyodo News Service, BBC, Al Jazeera, Radio Free Asia, CBC Canada, MNBC Seoul, Asia Times, Asia-Pacific Australian Broadcasting Corporation, Radio Australia; opeds in many papers and journals including Far Eastern Economic Review, San Francisco Chronicle, LA Times.
- Co-founder, Friends of the Earth Australia, 1973-75.
- First Director, Environmental Liaison Centre, Nairobi, Kenya, 1975-6.
- Co-founder, Nautilus Institute, 1977-present.
- Launched Pegasus Project in San Francisco, 1992-2004, currently Pegasus Voyages
- Editorial Board member, Pacific Focus, a scholarly journal on East Asia.
- Editorial Board member, Global Asia, a scholarly journal on East Asia and global issues.
- MacArthur Fellowship (2000) “for combining rigorous multidisciplinary training and technological knowledge with cultural sensitivity, policy acumen, and diplomatic skills…including non-governmental diplomacy of the highest order.”
- Gleitsman Award (2001) for “exceptional achievement of people who have initiated social change.”
- Global Korea Award (2001) “to recognize individuals or groups who have made significant contribution to cross-cultural understanding, global education, and well-being of Korean people around the world.”
- Genius Edition, Wave Magazine, July, 2003, profiled as “one of San Francisco’s 10 smartest people.”
Council on Foreign Relations New York April 24-2015 Panel “Approaching the Tipping Point: Nuclear Non-Proliferation in 2015“
CSIS Interview Series on Japan’s Nuclear Fuel Cycle, December 9 2014 Tokyo
December 9 2014 CSIS Interview in Tokyo with Peter Hayes, Nautilus Institute
Newstalk Radio Guam on the North Korean threat and Guam’s State of Emergency
12 April 2013 14:45 Travis Coffman in Guam on the Big Show at Radio Newstalk K-57 interviews Peter Hayes on the North Korean threat to fire nuclear weapons at Guam. An in-depth analysis of the actual capabilities of the DPRK military from the Nautilus Institute.
University San Francisco Panel April 21-2011 with Peter Hayes, Nautilus Institute Executive Director, and Kirk Smith, Professor of Global Environmental Health at UC Berkeley exploring the nuclear crisis in Japan and long-term implications for the environment, energy policy and public health
Witness: “North Korea: The Stalker State”
A video conference by Watson Institute’s Global Security Matrix at Brown University with Peter Hayes, Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology, October 26, 2006. North Korea’s slow motion proliferation over the last two decades cannot be explained in standard strategic frameworks such as deterrence theory. Instead, Peter Hayes outlined how North Korea used nuclear threat in various forms to stalk the United States in search of a security relationship – a form of nuclear compellence that most American policymakers found bizarre and extortionate. Hayes contrasted his theory of the Stalker State with other theories circulating on North Korea such as the Soprano State. He also explained why he believed that North Korea was likely to test nuclear weapons in the near future, a thesis that he advanced in his paper “Embrace Tiger, Retreat to Mountain, Test Nuke.”
Peter Hayes joined a panel of ecologists, economists, and insurers to examine the economic and social risks of climate change, the vast differences in the vulnerability of different nations and social groups to those risks, and the scale of investment needed to adapt to climate change as its impacts increase. The China – U.S. Climate Change Forum: What’s at Risk? was organised by the the Berkeley China Initiative. The text of his talk is available as “Multiple jeopardies: emerging global rules for climate change adaptation”.
Hayes Debates DPRK with former CIA Director on PBS
Peter Hayes, along with former CIA director James Woolsey, were interviewed by Peter Robinson for the PBS show Uncommon Knowledge on the topic of North Korea, nuclear weapons, and US Diplomacy. According to Hayes, “I think what is crucial… is unleashing the precision guided markets and the precision guided non-governmental organizations that will transform North Korea inside out, rather than putting pressure on it, which simply solidifies it into the black hole where it already is.”
“N. Korea Expert: U.S. Should Engage Pyongyang in Wide Dialogue to Defuse Tensions”
Hayes was interviewed by Bernard Gwertzman, consulting editor for Council on Foreign Relations in New York on October 27, 2003.
This April 18, 2003 interview is part of UC Berkeley’s Institute of International Studies “Conversations with History” series.
Jacki Lyden of National Public Radio talks with Peter Hayes, a North Korea Expert with the Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainable Development, on Oct. 16, 2002 on the White House’s allegations that North Korea has admitted to a secret nuclear weapons development program, in violation of its 1994 agreement with the United States.
August 4, 2001. Host Lisa Simeone talks on National Public Radio with Peter Hayes, Director of the Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainable Development about a joint declaration signed today by Russian President Vladimir Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong Il.
- Peter Hayes, Yi Kiho and Joan Diamond, “Complexity, Security and Civil Society in East Asia – Preface and Introduction”, NAPSNet Special Reports, July 02, 2015
- Peter Hayes, Yi Kiho, edited, Complexity, Security and Civil Society in East Asia. Foreign Policies and the Korean Peninsula, Open Book Publishers, June 2015
- Peter Hayes, “Nuclear Threat and Korean Reunification,” NAPSNet Policy Forum, June 01, 2015
- Peter Hayes and Chung-in Moon, “Korea: Will South Korea’s Non-Nuclear Narrative Defeat North Korea’s Nuclear Breakout?” in G. Shultz, James Goodby ed, The War That Must Never Be Fought, Dilemmas of Nuclear Deterrence, Hoover Institution Press, Stanford, 2015, pp. 377-436.
- Peter Hayes, “Think Tanks, ‘Think Nets’ and Their Evolution in Asia,” Global Asia, 10:1, Spring 2015
- Peter Hayes, “Nuclear terrorism risks in Northeast Asia: Japan’s reactor restart and spent fuel“, NAPSNet Special Reports, March 23, 2015,
- Peter Hayes and Roger Cavazos, “North Korea in 2014: A Fresh Leap Forward Into Thin Air?“, NAPSNet Special Reports, March 09, 2015
- Peter Hayes and Roger Cavazos, “North Korea’s nuclear force roadmap: hard choices”, NAPSNet Special Reports, March 02, 2015
- Peter Hayes and Roger Cavazos, “North Korea in 2014: A Fresh Leap Forward into Thin Air?” Asian Survey, 55, 1, pp. 119-131.
- Peter Hayes, “Nuclear command-and-control in the Millenials era“, NAPSNet Special Reports, February 17, 2015,
- Co-author, “The DPRK as a Participant in Northeast Asia Regional Energy Cooperation: Benefits and Challenges”, NAPSNet Policy Forum, January 20, 2015
- Co-author, “Private Purchases of Solar Photovoltaic Panels in the DPRK: Signs of Green Growth on the Way?”, NAPSNet Policy Forum, January 13, 2015
- Peter Hayes, David von Hippel, and Roger Cavazos, “Rapid Relief and Reconstruction in a DPRK Humanitarian Energy Crisis”, NAPSNet Special Reports, December 23, 2014
- Peter Hayes, “Strategic Negligence and the Sony Sideshow“, NAPSNet Policy Forum, December 22,
2014; also published as “US Strategic Negligence, North Korea and the Sony Sideshow”, The Asia-Pacific Journal, 12:52:2, December 29, 2014.
- Peter Hayes, “OVERCOMING US-DRPK HOSTILITY: The Missing Link between a Northeast Asian Comprehensive Security Settlement and Ending the Korean War”, NAPSNet Special Reports, December 21, 2014
- Peter Hayes, David von Hippel, Roger Cavazos, “Win-Win: China’s ability to play an active and constructive role in the Northeast Asia Energy and Environmental Sector”, NAPSNet Policy Forum, November 04, 2014
- Peter Hayes, David von Hippel, “Private Purchases of Solar Photovoltaic Panels in the DPRK: Signs of Green Growth on the Way?”, Hanyang University Center for Center for Energy Governance & Security Global Energy Monitor Vol.2, No.9, 2014-11
- Author, “Overcoming US-DPRK Hostility: Security Settlement and Ending the Korean War,” presented to the workshop: Denuclearization of Northeast Asia and of the World ― Developing a Comprehensive Approach to a Northeast Asia Nuclear Weapon-Free Zone (NEA-NWFZ): Workshop III, Research Center for Abolition of Nuclear Weapons, Nagasaki University, September 15, 2014. Powerpoint version here.
- Peter Hayes, David von Hippel, “Energy Needs in the DPRK”, NAPSNet Policy Forum, August 12, 2014
- Peter Hayes, Chung-in Moon, “Should South Korea Go Nuclear?”, NAPSNet Policy Forum, July 28, 2014. English Korean published simultaneously as East Asia Foundation Policy Debate 7 (Seoul), July 28, 2014. English Korean
- Peter Hayes, “Six Party Talks and Multilateral Security Cooperation”, NAPSNet Policy Forum, June 10, 2014
- Peter Hayes, ““Mutual Probable Destruction”: Nuclear Next-Use in a Nuclear-Armed East Asia?”, NAPSNet Policy Forum, May 14, 2014
- David F. von Hippel and Peter Hayes, “Illustrative Assessment of the Risk of Radiological Release from an Accident at the DPRK LWR at Yongbyon“, NAPSNet Special Reports, May 06, 2014
- Co-author, “Assessment of Energy Policy Options for the DPRK Using a Comprehensive Energy Security Framework,” NAPSNet Special Report, January 30, 2014 (originally published as a Working Paper 2013-4 by the Center for Energy, Governance and Security, Hanyang university, Seoul).
- Co-author, “Win-Win; China’s Ability to plan an active and constructive role in the Northeast Asia Energy and Environmental Sector,” Global Energy Monitor, 1: 10, January 18, 2014
- P. Hayes, R. Cavazos, “Kim Jong-un’s “Fresh Leap Forward” 2014 New Year Speech”, NAPSNet Special Reports, January 01, 2014
- Co-author, “Internet Events, Social Media and National Security in China“, NAPSNet Special Reports, December 17, 2013
- Co-author, “Potential Regional Nuclear Energy Sector Cooperation on Enrichment and Reprocessing: Scenarios, Issues, and Energy Security Implications,” NAPSNet Special Report, November 19, 2013 (originally published as a Working Paper 2013-1 by the Center for Energy, Governance and Security, Hanyang University, Seoul)
- P. Hayes, D. von Hippel, “Strategies for the Rehabilitation of the DPRK Energy Sector,” paper for International Seminar on Political Prospects of Korean Peninsula and Strategies for North-South Korean Energy Cooperation,” November 7, 2013, Yeoncheon, Republic of Korea
- Roger Cavazos, Peter Hayes and David von Hippel, “Technical Bulletin #59 on Prohibition of Dual Use Exports to North Korea”, NAPSNet Special Reports, September 26, 2013
- Peter Hayes, “Thinking About The Thinkable: DPRK Collapse Scenarios Redux”, NAPSNet Policy Forum, September 24, 2013
- Peter Hayes, “O Divine Art of Subtlety and Secrecy in the Age of Nuclear Byzantine Generals”, NAPSNet Policy Forum, September 19, 2013
- Peter Hayes and Roger Cavazos, “An Ecological Framework for Promoting Inter-Korean Cooperation and Nuclear Free Future: a DMZ Peace Park”, NAPSNet Special Reports, August 27, 2013
- Peter Hayes, “Non-State Nuclear Attack Urban Target Arrays—Pathways and Risk Reduction Strategies“, NAPSNet Policy Forum, August 22, 2013
- Author, “South Korea can get more than symbols from Beijing,” Global Times, June 27, 2013.
- Author, “Park Geun-Hye’s China Challenge“, NAPSNet Policy Forum, June 25, 2013
- Author, “US-China: Joined at the Hip,” NAPSNet Policy Forum, June 27, 2013
- Author, “Coping with North Korean Nuclear Quagmire – What Options are Available: Remarks at Jeju Forum Panel,” NAPSNet Policy Forum, May 30, 2013.
- Author, “Nuclear Knock-On Effects“, NAPSNet Policy Forum, May 09, 2013.
- Co-author, “Propaganda, Fire-Thrashing, And The Risk Of North Korean First-Use Of Nuclear Weapons In Korea,” NAPSNet Special Report, April 11, 2013
- Co-author, “North Korean and US Nuclear Threats: Discerning Signals from Noise,” The Asia-Pacific Journal, 11:14:2, April 8, 2013
- Co-author, “Rattling the American Cage: North Korean Nuclear Threats and Escalation Potential,” NAPSNet Policy Forum, April 4, 2013
- Co-author, “The Only Way To Find Out North Korea’s Intentions Is To Talk,” US News and World Report, Debate Club, April 4, 2013
- Author, “Tactically Smart, Strategically Stupid: Simulated B52 Nuclear Bombings in Korea,” NAPSNet Policy Forum, March 20, 2013
- Author, “Shaping the Strategic Environment Not Bad Behaviors,”NAPSNet Blog, March 7, 2013
- Author,“Re-entry Vehicles and Rhetoric in Pyongyang,” NAPSNet Blog, January 31, 2013
- “Dancing with Google DPRK-Style,” NAPSNet Blog, January 16, 2013
- CO-AUTHOR, “Virtual Suggestions: Google and North Korea,” PacNet, 4, January 10, 2013
- Co-author, “General Assessment of the DPRK Nuclear Situation,” Presentation at Workshop ―A Comprehensive Approach to a NEA-NWFZ, Research Center for Nuclear Weapons Abolition, Nagasaki University, December 7, 2012
- Author,”Human Security, Energy Security,” ADRI-TERI Symposium, Deakin University, presentation, October 17, 2012
- Co-author, “Energy Security in East Asia,” ed. Bill Sievert, Berkeley Encyclopaedia of Sustainability, volume 7, Vol. 7: China, India, and East and Southeast Asia: Assessing Sustainability, Great Barrington, MA: Berkshire Publishing Group, 2012, pp. 143-160.
- Author, “A Breakthrough Six-Party Summit in 2013? Why Not?” Global Asia, 7:4, December 2012, pp. 110-115
- “Foundations of Energy Security for the DPRK: 1990-2009 Energy Balances, Engagement Options, and Future Paths for Energy and Economic Redevelopment,” David von Hippel and Peter Hayes, NAPSNet Special Report, December 18, 2012
- “Political Rocketry,” NAPSNet Blog, November 29, 2012
- “Old Sea Dogs In New Battles With Fancy Labels“, NAPSNet Policy Forum, September 6, 2012
- Co-author, Summary Report: A New Approach to Security in Northeast Asia – Breaking the Gridlock Workshop, NAPSNet, Special Report, November 20, 2012
- Co-author, “Key Elements of Northeast Asia Nuclear-Weapons Free Zone (NEA-NWFZ),” NAPSNet, Policy Forum, November 13, 2012
- Peter Hayes, in Ken Brower, edited, The Wildness Within, Remembering David Brower, Heyday Press, 2012, pp. 177-185
- Author, “South Korea’s Long Bow,” NAPSNet Blog, July 26, 2012
- Author, “The DPRK’s Nuclear Constitution,” NAPSNet Blog, June 13, 2012
- Author, “Should the US Consider Redeploying Tactical Nukes in South Korea? Loose Lips Sink Ships, So Cut the Nuke Talk,” Global Asia, 7:2 Summer 2012, pp. 77-79
- Author, “Circling the square of nuclear extended deterrence in Northeast Asia,” NAPSNet Blog, May 3, 2012
- “A Realistic Assessment of North Korea’s Operational Nuclear Capability,” North Korean Review, 8:1, Spring 2012, pp. 84-92
- Peter Hayes, “Global Perspectives on Nuclear Safety and Security After 3-11,” The Asia-Pacific Journal, Vol 10, Issue 14, No 3, April 2, 2012
- “Nuclear Safety and Security After 3-11,” NAPSNet Special Report, March 22, 2012
- “Nuclear Safety and Security After 3-11,” Global Asia, 7:1, Spring 2012, pp. 21-27
- January 31, 2012: Co-author, Nuclear and Conventional Extended Deterrence in a Northeast Asian Nuclear Weapons-Free Zone, Summary Report, East Asia Nuclear Security Workshop, January 31, 2012, International House of Japan, Tokyo.
- December 19, 2011: Co-author, “Kim Jong Il’s Death Suggests Continuity Plus Opportunity to Engage,” NAPSNet Policy Forum
- November 8, 2011: Co-author, “North Korean’s Digital Transformation: Implications for North Korea Policy,
- “Nautilus Peace and Security Network Report, November 8, 2011
- October 31, 2011: Co-author, “Park Chung Hee, the US-ROK Strategic Relationship, and the Bomb,” The Asia Pacific Journal: Japan Focus, 9:44, No 6, October 31, 2011
- October 21, 2011: Co-author, “Kim Jong Il’s Nuclear Diplomacy and the US Opening: Slow Motion Six-Party Engagement,” The Asia-Pacific Journal, 9:43:1, October 24, 2011; also published as NASPNet Policy Forum 11-37, October 21, 2011.
- September 2011: Co-author, “Park Chung Hee, the CIA & the Bomb,”Global Asia, September 2011; also published in East Asia Forum; the full historical account with references is “Park Chung Hee, the CIA & the Bomb,” NAPSNet Special Report, September 26, 2011.
- September 11, 2011: Co-author, “Unprecedented Nuclear Strikes of the Invincible Army: A Realistic Assessment of North Korea’s Operational Nuclear Capability,” NAPSNet Special Report, September 22, 2011
- 2011, July: Co-author, “The DPRK and the Warsaw Clause: An Unnoticed Change in US Nuclear Policy,” NAPSNet Policy Forum, July 28, 2011
- July 5, 2011: Author, “Is a Nuclear-free East Asia Possible? Opportunities and Constraints,” NAPSNet Special Report July 5, 2011. Also published by Global Asia Forum
- June, 2011: Co-author, “Paths to Peace on the Peninsula: The Case for a Japan-Korea Nuclear Weapon Free Zone,” Security Challenges, 7:2, Winter 2011 pp. 105-121
- June 2011: Co-author, “The DPRK Energy Sector: Current Status and Future Engagement Options,” The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, 23: June 2, 2011, pp. 159-173
- June, 2011: Co-author, “Engaging the DPRK Enrichment and Small LWR Program: What Would It Take?” Korean Journal of International Studies, 9:1, June 2011, pp. 67-9
- May 25, 2011: “From Divided Nuclear States to Connected Gigacity,” talk to Seoul Digital Forum, Seoul.
- May 19, 2011: “Future regional nuclear fuel cycle cooperation in East Asia: Energy security costs and benefits,” Energy Policy, accepted April 27, 2011, Available online May 19, 2011
- May 14, 2011: “Fukushima’s implications for Korea’s nuclear dilemmas,” East Asia Forum, May 14th, 2011
- May 2011: Co-author, “Supporting Online Material: North Korean Nuclear Statements (2002-2010)” Nautilus Special Report, May 17, 2011
- May 2011: Author, “Fukushima’s Implications for Korea’s Nuclear Dilemmas,” Hanbando Focus, Institute of Far Eastern Studies, Kyungnam University, May 5, 2011, pp. 21-27
- May 2011: Author, “Fukushima’s Implications for Korea’s Nuclear Dilemmas,” NAPSNet Policy Forum, May 14, 2011
- May 2011: Co-Author, “Beyond the Nuclear Umbrella: Re-Thinking the Theory and Practice of Nuclear Extended Deterrence in East Asia and the Pacific,” NAPSNet Special Report, May 3, 2011
- May 2011: Author, “Is a Nuclear-Free East Asia Possible? Opportunities and Constraints,” Global Asia, May 28, 2011.
- April: Co-author, “The Path from Fukushima: Short and Medium-term Impacts of the Reactor Damage Caused by the Japan Earthquake and Tsunami on Japan’s Electricity Systems,” NAPSNet Special Report, April 11, 2011
- April, 2011: Co-author, “Beyond the nuclear umbrella: re-thinking the theory and practice of nuclear extended deterrence in East Asia and the Pacific,” Pacific Focus, accepted for publication, December 2010.
- P. Hayes, S. Bruce, “North Korean Nuclear Nationalism and the Threat of Nuclear War in Korea,” NAPSNet Special Report, April 21, 2011
- April, 2011: Co-author, “North Korean Nuclear Nationalism and the Threat of Nuclear War in Korea,” Pacific Focus, accepted for publication, December 2010. This is a substantially revised version of “ Nuclear Competition and Korean Nationalism,” June 2010.
- April 5, 2011: “Opening Remarks,” Workshop on Cooperation to Control Non-State Nuclear Proliferation: Extra-Territorial Jurisdiction and UN Resolutions 1540 and 1373, April 5, 2011, Washington DC
- March: Co-author, “After the Deluge: Short and Medium-term Impacts of the Reactor Damage Caused by the Japan Earthquake and Tsunami,” NAPSNet Special Report, March 17, 2011
- March, 2011: Co-author, Engaging the DPRK Part 2: Transforming the DPRK through Energy Sector Development, 38 North Special Report, Washington, DC: U.S.-Korea Institute at SAIS, Johns Hopkins University, March 3, 2011
- February 2011: Co-author, Small LWR Development and Denuclearization, 38 North, Washington, DC: U.S.-Korea Institute at SAIS, Johns Hopkins University, February 17, 2011
- February: Author, “North-South Korean Elements of National Power,” NAPSNet Special Report, February 2, 2011 By Peter Hayes
- December, 2010: Author, “Sustainable Security in the Korean Peninsula: Envisioning a Northeast Asian Biodiversity Corridor,”Korean Journal of International Studies, 8:10, 2010, pp. 197-230
- December, Co-Author, Engaging the DPRK Enrichment and Small LWR Program: What Would It Take?, NAPSNet Special Report December 23, 2010
- 2010, Co-author, “Evaluating The Energy Security Impacts Of Energy Policies,” in Benjamin Sovacool, edited, Routledge Handbook of Energy Security, ed. Forthcoming, 2011, Routledge, UK, USA, Canada.
- December, 2010: “Unprecedented Nuclear Strikes:” Translating North Korea’s Nuclear Threats into Constrained Operational Reality,” forthcoming in G. Moore, ed, North Korean Nuclear Operationality: Implications for Regional Security and the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime, Stanford University Press, accepted for publication, December 2010, forthcoming.
- 2010: Author, “Sustainable Security in the Korean Peninsula: Envisioning a Northeast Asian Biodiversity Corridor” Korean Journal of International Studies, 8:10, 2010, pp. 197-230.
- December 2010: Co-author, “Deep Borehole Disposal of Nuclear Spent Fuel and High Level Waste as a Focus of Regional East Asia Nuclear Fuel Cycle Cooperation,” NAPSNet Special Report, December 13, 2010
- December 2010: Author, “The US needs a new North Korea policy: a nuclear weapons free zone,” On-Line Opinion (Australia), December 6, 2010.
- November 2010, Author, “Time to Talk: The Threat of Nuclear and Conventional War in Korea,” NAPSNet Policy Forum 10-057, November 24, 2010
- November, 2010: Author, “DPRK Enriched Uranium Highlights Need for New US DPRK Policy,” NAPSNet Policy Forum 10-056, November 22, 2010
- November, 2010: Co-author, “North Korea’s “Collapse” Pathways and the Role of the Energy Sector,” forthcoming in North Korea Review, accepted for publication, November 4, 2010; and forthcoming in Suk-hi Kim, ed, The Survival Strategy of North Korea, McFarland Press. This paper was originally prepared as part of The Korea Project, co-organized by the Korean Studies Institute at the University of Southern California and the Office of the Korea Chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Washington D.C., and presented at the conference “The Korea Project: Planning for the Long Term” Conference, August 20-21, 2010, Los Angeles, USA.
- October 11, 2010: “Sustainable Security in the Korean Peninsula: Envisioning a Northeast Asian BiodiversityCorridor,”The Asia-Pacific Journal, 41-2-10, October 11, 2010.
- September 2010: Author, “The Status Quo Isn’t Working: A Nuke-Free Zone Is Needed Now,” Global Asia, Fall 2010, 5:3.
- September 2010, Co-author, “Korea-Japan Nuclear Weapon Free Zone (KJNWFZ) Concept Paper,” NAPSNet Special Report, December 13, 2010 (also in Korean and Japanese)
- August 2010: P. Hayes, -“Sustainable Security in the Korean Peninsula: Envisioning a Northeast Asian Biodiversity Corridor,” keynote speech at Korean Association of International Studies, 2010 DMZ Peace Congress, “Green Cooperation for Peace and Life,” Seoul, August 12, 2010, also published as NAPSNet Policy Forum 10-047: August 24th, 2010.
- June, 2010: Co-author, “ Nuclear Competition and Korean Nationalism,” Nautilus Institute research workshop, “Strong connections: Australia-Korea strategic relations – past, present and future” Seoul, 15-16 June, 2010
- June 2010, Co-author, FUTURE REGIONAL NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE COOPERATION IN EAST ASIA: ENERGY SECURITY COSTS AND BENEFITS, Report of the EAST ASIA SCIENCE AND SECURITY PROJECT, Nautilus Institute, June 6, 2010
- March 2010: Co-author, “Nuclear Fuel Cycle Cooperation Scenarios for East Asia and the Pacific: Analytical Approach and Initial Results,” Prepared for the Meeting of the International Panel on Fissile Materials, Roppongi, March 17-20, 2010
- January 2010: Author, “Transformative Technology for a Sustainable Future,” Global Asia, 4, 4, Winter 2010.
- January, 2010: Co-author, “The Path Not Taken, the Way Still Open: Denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia,” NAPSNet Special Report 10-001, January 5, 2010
- Co-Author, “The Six-Party Talks and Korea’s Energy Security,” presentation to February 26th, 2009, Georgia Institute of Technology’s Korea Conference 2009
- December 2009: Co-Author, “Climate Adaptation,” in Global Cities Institute, Annual Review 2009, RMIT University, pp. 18-26
- Co-author, National Climate Change Adaptation Research Plan: Settlements and Infrastructure, National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility, Griffith University, Queensland, December 2009
- December 2009: Co-Author, “DPRK energy sector development priorities: Options and preferences,” Energy Policy, accepted 24 November 2009, Available online 22 December 2009.
- December 2009: Co-Author, “The Path Not Taken, The Way Still Open: Denuclearizing The Korean Peninsula And Northeast Asia,” The Asia Pacific Journal, No. 50. 2009; December 14, 2009; also published as Austral Special Report 09-09S, 14 December 2009, and as NAPSNet Special Report, January 5th, 2010.
- December 2009: Co-Author, “Extended Nuclear Deterrence, Global Abolition, and Korea,” The Asia Pacific Journal, No. 50. 2009, December 14, 2009; also published as Austral Special Report 09-06S, 10 December 2009; and as NAPSNet Special Report, December 17th, 2009.
- November 2009, Co-Author, “DPRK Energy Sector Assistance to Accompany Progress in Denuclearization Discussions: Options and Considerations,” paper for “Improving Regional Security and Denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula: U.S. Policy Interests and Options,” November 2009.
- October 2009, Author, “Unbearable Legacies: The Politics of Environmental Degradation in North Korea,” with postscript,The Asia-Pacific Journal, Vol. 41-2-09, October 12th, 2009.
- September, 2009, Author, The Gathering Storm, Will Asia Pacific Cities Adapt to Climate Change?, report of Global Scenarios 2007, Nautilus Institute and the Global Cities Institute November 6-7, 2007 at RMIT Vietnam, Ho Chi Minh City
- August 2009, Co-author, “Northeast Asia Regional Energy Infrastructure Proposals”, Asian Energy Security Special Issue of Energy Policy, Accepted for Publication, August 5, 2009
- July 2009, Author, “Unbearable legacies: The Politics of Environmental Degradation in North Korea,” Global Asia, Volume 4, Number 2 Summer 2009, pp. 33-39
- July 2009, Co-author, “Energy Security and Sustainability in Northeast Asia” Asian Energy Security Special Issue of Energy Policy, Accepted for Publication, July 6, 2009
- July 2009, Co-author, “Overview of the Northeast Asia Energy Situation” Asian Energy Security Special Issue of Energy Policy, Accepted for Publication, July 6, 2009
- June, 2009, P. Hayes, co-author, “Winning, not Playing the Nuclear Game with North Korea,” Policy Forum Online 09-044A: June 2nd, 2009
- July 2008: Co-author with D. von Hippel, “Future Northeast Asian Regional Energy Sector Cooperation Proposals and the DPRK Energy Sector: Opportunities and Constraints”,” ERINA REPORT, volume 82, pages 40 – 55
- May 6 2008: Co-author, “Growth in Energy Needs in Northeast Asia: Projections, Consequences, and Opportunities,” paper presented at the 2008 Northeast Asia Energy Outlook Seminar, Korea Economic Institute Policy Forum, Washington, DC, May 6, 2008
- April 4, 2008: P. Hayes, “Resilience as Emergent Behavior,” Panel on Building Resiliency, Surviving Climate Change: Adaptation and Innovation Conference, University of California, Hastings College of the Law, San Francisco.
- February 8, 2008, P. Hayes, “Agent-Based Modelling and Climate Change Adaptation: Briefing Note for Discussion,” GCI CCAP Seminar presentation.
- January 2008: P. Hayes with D. von Hippel and T. Savage, “Introduction to the Asian Energy Security project: Project organization and methodologies,” Energy Policy, accepted 2 January 2008, forthcoming.
- November 14, 2007: P. Hayes, “The Six-Party Talks: Meeting North Korea’s energy needs,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November 14, 2007, The Bulletin On-Line.
- October 2007: P. Hayes, R. Horne, “Climate change and city futures,” in R. Atkinson et al, edited, New Ideas for Australia’s Cities, pp. 11-14.
- July-August 2007: P. Hayes, S. Bruce, “Science as Diplomacy,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Volume 63, Number 4 / July/August 2007, p.23.
- June 30, 2007: P. Hayes, D. von Hippel, “Fueling DPRK Energy Futures and Energy Security: 2005 Energy Balance, Engagement Options, And Future Paths,” Nautilus Institute Special Report 07-042.
- June 1, 2007: P. Hayes and D. von Hippel, “Energy Security for North Korea,” Science, 1 June 2007: Vol. 316. no. 5829, pp. 1288-1289.
- May 31, 2007: P. Hayes, D. von Hippel, “Anticipating Six Party Energy Negotiations,” Nautilus Special Report 07-043A: May 31st, 2007.
- February 15, 2007: P. Hayes, “The Beijing Deal is not the Agreed Framework,” Nautilus Policy Forum Online 07-014A, February 14th, 2007, also published as “North Korea and the United States: what deal?”, Open Democracy; and as “Beijing Deal is Not Agreed Framework ,” North Korea Review, Fall, 2007, pp. 19-23
- June, 2004, P. Hayes, “North Korean proliferation and the end of US nuclear hegemony,” in S. Lodgaard et al, edited, Nuclear Proliferation and International Security, Routledge, 2007, in pp. 118-136
- December 18, 2006: P. Hayes, “Inspector O And The Case Of The Missing Tea Thermos,” Nautilus Policy Forum Online 06-105A: December 18th, 2006.
- October 20, 2006: P. Hayes, J. Kang, “Technical Analysis of the DPRK Nuclear Test,” Nautilus Policy Forum Online 06-89A: October 20th, 2006.
- October 9, 2006, P. Hayes, T. Savage, “Dr Strangelove in Pyongyang,” Policy Forum Online 06-85A: October 10th, 2006, also published by OhmyNews.
- October 4, 2006, P. Hayes, “The Stalker State: North Korean Proliferation and the End of American Nuclear Hegemony,” Nautilus Policy Forum Online 06-82A, October 4th, 2006, also published by Ohmynews as North Korea: The Stalker State, and Japan Focus.
- July 21, 2006, P. Hayes, “Embrace Tiger, Retreat To Mountain, Test Nuke,” Nautilus Policy Forum Online 06-60A July 21st, 2006, also published in Open Democracy as “Nuclear little brother: North Korea’s next test“.
- July 7, 2006: P. Hayes, “Stop Hyperventilating, Start Talking,” Nautilus PFO 06-54A: July 7th, 2006.
- June 9, 2006: P. Hayes, “Multiple jeopardies: emerging global rules for climate change adaptation,” Austral Policy Forum 06-19A 9 June 2006 and on YouTube as part of China-U.S. Climate Change Forum: What’s at Risk?
- 2 May 2006: Author, “US Misses-Mines-for-Nukes Opportunity,” NAPSNet Special Report 06-34A: May 2nd, 2006, Nautilus Institute.
- January/February 2006: Co-author, ‘Grid-locked‘, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January/February 2006, 52-58 (vol. 62, no. 01).
- September 21, 2005: Co-author, “Light Water Reactors at the Six Party Talks: The Barrier that Makes the Water Flow,” Policy Forum Online 05-78A, Nautilus Institute.
- July 21, 2005: Co-author, “South Korea’s Power Play at the Six-Party Talks,” East Asia Science and Security Collaborative Special Report, Nautilus Institute, July 21, 2005, forthcoming in Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
- July 19, 2005: Co-author, “Drifting into the Six Party Talks?,” Policy Forum Online 05-59A: July 19th, 2005, Nautilus Institute.
- January 14, 2005: with David Von Hippel, “North Korea and Renewable Energy,” letter, Science Magazine, 2005, no 307, p. 207.
- December 8, 2004: “South Korea’s Nuclear Surprise,”Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (cover story), January-February 2005.
- October 19, 2004: “The Role of Think Tanks in Defining Security Issues and Agendas,” presentation to Center for Defense and Strategic Studies, Australian Defence College, Canberra.
- September 10, 2004: “South Korea’s Nuclear Mis-Adventures,” NAPSNet Special Report, (with Jungmin Kang, Tatsujiro Suzuki).
- May 25, 2004: “North Korea’s Uranium Exports: Much Ado About Something”, NAPSNet Special Report.
- May 2004: Author, Global Insecurity And Nuclear Next-Use, NAPSNet Special Report.
- April 30, 2004: “Kim Jong Il Should Read George Bush’s Lips,” Nautilus PFO 04-20.
- April 20, 2004: “Korea,” presentation to Center for Defense and Strategic Studies, Canberra.
- February 20, 2004: “The Multilateral Mantra And North Korea,” Nautilus Institute, February 20, 2004.
- February 11, 2004: “Enemy to Friend: Providing Security Assurances to North Korea,” Nautilus Institute.
- Author, “Viewpoint,” Nuclear Engineering International, 48, 587, 2003, p. 47
- Author, “Seven Step Policy to Solve the North Korean Nuclear Problem,” Nautilus Institute, November 18, 2003
- Author, “Bush’s Bipolar Disorder and the Looming Failure of Multilateral Talks With North Korea,” Arms Control Today, October 2003.
- October 2003: Co-author, Environmental Issues for Regional Power Systems in Northeast Asia. Prepared for the Third Workshop on Northeast Asia Power Grid Interconnections, to be held in Vladivostok, Russia, in October, 2003.
- August 2003: Co-author, A Korean Krakatoa? Scenarios for the Peaceful Resolution of the North Korean Nuclear Crisis.
- August 2003: Author, “Plutonium Pineapples: Avoiding Awful Choices Over North Korean Nuclear Exports,” Nautilus PFO 03-40: August 20, 2003.
- June 1, 2003: “Drivers of Strategic Thinking on North and South Korea,” presentation to Center for Defense and Strategic Studies, Canberra.
- June 2003: Co-author and editor, Verifying North Korean Nuclear Disarmament, a Technical Analysis, Carnegie Endowment Working Paper 38, Washington DC.
- May-June 2003: Co-author: “Nixing Nukes In Vietnam,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May/June 2003, Volume 59, No. 3, also published as part of Essentially Annihilated reports.
- April 18 2003: “North Korea’s Negotiating Tactics And Nuclear Strategy,” Nautilus Institute Special Report.
- March 2003: co-author, Iraq: A Lost War? Nautilus Special Forum, March 18, 2003.
- March 9, 2003: Co-author with Nina Tannenwald, “A Bad Idea in Vietnam, an Even Worse Idea Today,” Nautilus PFO 03-17: March 9, 2003, also published in the Los Angeles Times, March 9, 2003 (registration required).
- January 2003: Co-author, “Regional Energy Infrastructure Proposals and the DPRK Energy Sector: Opportunities and Constraints,” paper to KEI-KIEP Policy Forum on “Northeast Asian Energy Cooperation” Washington, DC, January 9, 2003.
- January 2003: Co-author, Access & Information In The DPRK: Experience In Conducting The Nautilus Unhari Village Rural Energy Survey. Presentation to US-DPRK Next Steps workshop.
- January 13, 2003: “DPRK Energy Security Without Rewarding Bad Behavior,” Nautilus Institute PFO 03-2A.
- October 8: 2002: “DPRK Information Strategy-Does It Exist?,” Nautilus Institute, presented at Asia Pacific Center for Strategic Studies, October 8-10, 2002, also in hard copy in Alexandre Y. Mansourov, ed., “Bytes and Bullets: Information Technology Revolution and National Security on the Korean Peninsula,” Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies: Honolulu, HI, 2005, ISBN 0-9719416-9-6.
- October 2002: Co-author, The DPRK Energy Sector: Current Status and Options for the Future. Prepared for the International Workshop on “Upgrading and Integration of Energy Systems in the Korean Peninsula. Energy Scenarios for the DPR of Korea”, Como, Italy, September 19-21, 2002.
- September 2002: Co-author, The DPRK Energy Sector: Estimated Year 2000 Energy Balance and Suggested Approaches to Sectoral Redevelopment, NAPSNet Special Report, September 16, 2002.
- September 2002: Co-author, The DPRK Energy Sector: Estimated Year 2000 Energy Balance and Suggested Approaches to Sectoral Redevelopment. Report prepared for the Korea Energy Economics Institute.
- May 2002: Co-author, Asian Perspective, Vol.26, No.1, 2002, Special Issue on the Energy Crisis and Renewable Energy Development in North Korea” incl: “Case Study of a Rural Energy Survey in the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea: Methods, Results, and Implications”; “Fuel and Famine: Rural Energy Crisis in the DPRK”, “NGO Engagement with North Korea: Dilemmas and Lessons Learned”, pp. 151-167.
- “Modernizing the U.S.-DPRK Agreed Framework: The Energy Imperative“, Peter Hayes, David Von Hippel, Nautilus Team Co-author, “Rural Re-electrification in the DPRK”;
- May 2002: Summary Report of the Asia Energy Security Project Activities and Accomplishments, 2001 to 2002. Nautilus Institute Report.
- October 2001: Co-author, Energy Security and International Electricity Exchanges in Northeast Asia: Background and Summary Results of the 2001 Nautilus Institute Workshop on Northeast Asia Power Grid Interconnection. Nautilus Institute Report.
- Author, “Environmental Security In A World Of Perpetual War,” presented at Environmental Grantmakers Association, Brainerd Minnesota, October 8, 2001
- September 2001: Co-author, Estimated Costs and Benefits of Power Grid Interconnections in Northeast Asia. Based on a Presentation Prepared for the Northeast Asia Grid Interconnection Workshop, hosted by Nautilus Institute, the State Power International Service Company and the Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing, China, May 14 to 16, 2001. Nautilus Institute Report.
- May 20, 2001: Co-author, Rural Energy Survey in Unhari, DPRK: Methods, Results and Implications, Nautilus Institute Special Report.
- February 15, 2001: Co-author, Modernizing the US-DPRK Agreed Framework, The Energy Imperative, Nautilus Policy Forum On-line.
- 2001: Co-author, “East Timor and Asian Security,” in ed. R. Tanter, M. Selden, S. Shalom, Bitter Flowers, Sweet Flowers, East Timor, Indonesia, and the World Community, Rowman and Littlefield, New York, pp. 173-188.
- Co-Author, “Opinion: To Build Trust, Think Small,” NEWSWEEK-INTERNATIONAL EDITION, November 6, 2000, pp. 56-58.
- 2000: Co-author, The Impact of the Northeast Asian Peace and Security Network in US-DPRK Conflict Resolution, Nautilus Institute, paper to Internet and International Systems:Information Technology and American Foreign Policy Decisionmaking Workshop, San Francisco.
- 2000: Co-author, Information Axioms.
- March 1, 2000: Co-author: Fuel and Famine: Rural Energy Crisis in the DPRK, published as a Policy Paper for the Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation at UC San Diego.
- Co-author, “Sustainable energy in a developing world: The role of knowledgeable markets,” in P. Chasek, ed, The Global Environment In The Twenty-First Century: Prospects for International Cooperation, UN University Press, Tokyo, 2000, pp. 175-203
- December, 1999: Co-authored, “Energy, Security and Environment in Northeast Asia: Defining a US-Japan Partnership for Regional Comprehensive Security,” Nautilus Institute (San Francisco) and Center for Global Communications (Tokyo), December 1999.
- May 1999: Co-author, “The Wind Farm in the Cabbage Patch,” The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, volume 55, no. 3, May/June 1999, pp. 40-49.
- October 1998: Co-author, “Environmental Problems and the Energy Sector in the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK)” in Asian Perspective.
- October 1998: Co-author, “Two Scenarios of Nuclear Power and Nuclear Waste Production in Northeast Asia“. Pacific and Asian Journal of Energy, volume 8, no 1, June 1998, pp. 9-22.
- 1998: Co-author, Two Scenarios of Nuclear Power and Nuclear Waste Production in Northeast Asia, Case Study 97-2, Center for International Studies, Graduate School of International Studies, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea.
- May 1998: Co-author, Pacific Asian Regional Energy Security: Frameworks for Analysis and Japan Case Study. Synthesis Report for Pacific Asian Regional Energy Security (PARES) Project, Phase I. Nautilus Institute report.
- January 1998: Co-author, “North Korean Energy Sector: Current Status and Scenarios for 2000 and 2005″. Chapter 6 in Economic Integration of the Korean Peninsula, Institute for International Economics Special Report 10, M. Noland, editor.
- November 1997: Co-author, Sustainable Energy in a Developing World: The Role of Knowledgeable Markets. Prepared for the United Nations University Symposium on Environment (Group on Market Forces and Environment), November 14 – 15, 1997.
- November 1997: Co-author, An Estimate Of Energy Use In The Armed Forces Of The Democratic People’s Republic Of Korea. Nautilus Institute report. Co-author; published in The Economics of Korean Reunification, vol. 2, no. 3-4, Fall-Winter, 1997, pp. 56-79.
- October 1997: Co-author, Demand for and Supply of Electricity and other Fuels in the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK): Results and Ramifications for 1990 through 2005. Prepared for the Northeast Asia Economic Forum/East-West Center.
- September 1997: Co-author, DPRK Energy Sector: Current Status and Scenarios for 2000 and 2005, presented at the Conference: Economic Integration of the Korean Peninsula Washington, D.C.
- August 1997: Co-author, Ecological Crisis and the Quality of Life in the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK). Prepared for the Conference: “Unraveling Regime Dynamics in North Korea: Contending Perspectives and Comparative Implications”, The Institute for Korean Unification Studies, Yonsei University, Seoul, Republic of Korea, August 20, 1997.
- August 1997: Co-author, Comparative Approach to Regional Cooperation for a Clean, Efficient Electric Power Industry. Prepared for the Conference: “Comparative Approaches to Cooperative Development of Power Systems for Northeast Asia”, organized by the Northeast Asia Economic Forum, Ulaan Baatar, Mongolia, August 18 – 20, 1997.
- March 1997: Co-author, East Asia Energy Futures: Towards Least-Cost Energy Investment in Northeast Asia–Progress Report. Nautilus Institute report.
- January, 1997: Co-author, “Engaging North Korea on Energy Efficiency”. The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, Volume VIII, No. 2, Winter 1996. Pages 177 – 221.
- January, 1997: Co-author, Demand For HFO and Other Fuels in the DPRK: 1996 and 2000. Nautilus Institute report to KEDO.
- 1997: Co-author and editor, Peace and Security in Northeast Asia, the Nuclear Issue, M.E. Sharpe, Armonk, New York.
- December, 1996: Co-author, “Energy in Northeast Asia“. In Environmental Threats and National Security: An International Challenge to Science and Technology, B.R. Allenby, T.J. Gilmartin, and R.F. Lehman II, editors. Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Center for Global Security Research, Report No. UCRL-ID-129655, California, USA.
- March 1996: Co-author, Summary Background Paper On Rural Electrification In The APEC Region: Technical Options And Initial Framework For Evaluation Of Alternatives. Draft document prepared for the United Nations Development Programme.
- December 14, 1996: Co-author, KEDO and HFO Demand in the DPRK, Nautilus Institute report to KEDO.
- 1996: Co-author, Summary Background Paper On Rural Electrification In The APEC Region: Technical Options And Initial Framework For Evaluation Of Alternatives, report to APEC Energy Working Group, Tokyo.
- 1996: Co-author, The Prospects for Energy Efficiency Improvements in the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea: Evaluating and Exploring the Options. Nautilus Institute 1996 report, also published in Korean Journal of Defense Analysis. VonHippel DF, Hayes P Engaging North Korea on energy efficiency Korean Journal of Defense Analysis 8 (2): 177& WIN 1996
- 1996: Co-author and editor, Space Power Interests, Westview Press, Boulder, Colorado.
- 1995: Co-author, The Prospects for Energy Efficiency Improvements in the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea: Evaluating and Exploring the Options. Nautilus Institute report.
- 1995: Co-author, Climate Change and the Rise in Sea Level with their Accompanying Socioeconomic Impacts and Response Strategies for Asia and the Pacific. Nautilus Institute report, prepared for UN-ESCAP, Bangkok.
- July 1995: Co-author with General Pan Zhenqiang, Summary Working Group 5, Security in the Asia Pacific Region, 45th Pugwash Conference on Science and World Affairs, Towards a Nuclear-Weapons-Free World, Hiroshima, Japan, July 23-29, 1995.
- June 13 – 15, 1995: Co-author, “Climate Change and Associated Sea Level Rise — Potential Impacts, Responses, and Policy”. In The Role of Science and Technology in Promoting Environmentally Sustainable Development, Proceedings of the Science and Technology Policy Institute and United Nations University Joint Seminar, Seoul, Korea.
- June 1995: Co-author, “Acid Rain in a Regional Context,” in The Role of Science and Technology in Promoting Environmentally Sustainable Development, Proceedings of the Science and Technology Policy Institute and United Nations University Joint Seminar, Seoul, Korea, June 13 – 15, 1995.
- 1995: Co-author, “Environmental Issues and Regimes in Northeast Asia,” Journal of International Environmental Affairs, volume 6, 1995, pp. 283 et passim.
- 1995: “The Transfer of Light-Water Reactor Technology to the DPRK,” in T. Kim and S. Harrison, eds, Dealing with the North Korean Nuclear Problem, Hanul Publishing Company, 1995.
- October 18, 1994: P. Hayes, “Enduring Legacies: Economic Dimensions Of Restoring North Korea’s Environment” prepared for the Fourth Annual International Symposium on the North Korean Economy Center for North Korean Economic Studies, Korean Development Institute, Seoul, October 18, 1994.
- September 1994: Environmental Cooperation in Northeast Asia, report to UNDP/ESCAP, Beijing.
- June 24, 1994: Co-author, Regional Environmental Cooperation in Asia, report to Indian Ocean Peace Research Centre, Perth, Australia.
- June 3, 1994: “North Korea Crosses the Rubicon,” NAPSNet Policy Forum.
- March 1994: Co-author, Indicative Study of the Potential Economic and Environmental Impacts of Demand-Side Management in the Philippines. Nautilus Institute Report. Nautilus Institute, Berkeley, California.
- February 25, 1994: “Hanging In The Balance: North-South Korean Military Capabilities,” Prepared for the Northeast Asia Peace and Security Network.
- 1994: P. Hayes, “Defiance Versus Compliance, North Korea’s Calculus Faced With Multilateral Sanctions“, in G. Stillman and T. Inoguchi, Northeast Asian Regional Security, The Role of International Institutions, edited by Takashi Inoguchi and Grant B. Stillman, UN University Press, Tokyo.
- February 25, 1994: “Defiance Versus Compliance: The DPRK’s Calculus Faced With Multilateral Sanctions,” report to Northeast Asia Peace and Security Network.
- 1994: “The Two Koreas and the International Missile Trade,” pp. 129-161, in W. Potter and H. Jencks, ed, The International Missile Bazaar, The New Suppliers Network, Westview Press, Colorado, 1994.
- Co-Author, “Science, Economics and North-South Politics in the Climate Change Convention,” Natural Resources Forum, 18:4, 1994, pp. 305-306.
- December 1993: “What North Korea Wants,” The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, volume 49, no. 10, , pp. 8-10.
- November 16, 1993: “Should The United States Supply Light Water Reactors To Pyongyang?” paper to the symposium “United States and North Korea: What Next?” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington DC.
- November 1993: Report on Global Environment Facility Mission to the Democratic Peoples’ Republic of Korea, Nautilus
- September 1993: Co-author, Regional Cooperation and Environmental Issues in Northeast Asia, Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, Working Paper, San Diego.
- September 7, 1993: P. Hayes, “North Korea’s Nuclear Gambits” [HTML] North Korea’s Nuclear Gambits [PDF] in K. Bailey, edited, Director’s Series on Proliferation, Lawrence Livermore Laboratory, UCRL-LR-114070-2.
- 1993: Cooperation on Energy Sector Issues with the DPRK, report to Asia Society, October 29/93; Cooperation on Environmental Issues with the DPRK, report to Asia Society, October 29/93; Cooperation on International Economic Issues with the DPRK, report to Asia Society, November 2/93; The Transfer of LWR Technology to the DPRK, report to Asia Society, November 1, 1993.
- 1993: Japan’s Plutonium Overhang and Regional Insecurity, Working Paper, Peace Research Center, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia, 1993; published in Fall 1993 issue of Pacific Focus, volume 8, no 2, pp. 83-108.
- 1993: “International Missile Trade and the Two Koreas,” in W. Potter and H. Jencks, The International Missile Bazaar: The New Suppliers’ Network, Westview Press, Boulder, Colorado, 1993; as an occasional paper from the Monterey Institute for International Studies, March 1993; and “International Missile Trade and the Two Koreas, in Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, Seoul, May, summer, 1993, no 1, pp. 207-239.
- 1993: Co-author and editor, Global Greenhouse Regime: Who Pays?, UN University Press/Earthscan Press, Tokyo and London.
- 1993: “The Republic of Korea’s Nuclear Potential,” paper to Conference on the Future of Security on the Korean Peninsula, Australian National University, February 1992; working paper from Department of International Relations, ANU, 1992; also in Pacific Focus, Volume 7, no 1, Spring 1992, pp. 23-57; and in A. Mack ed, Asian Flashpoint, Security and the Korean Peninsula, Allen and Unwin, Sydney, pp. 51-84.
- November 1992: UNDP Greenhouse Gas Inventory and Least Cost Reduction Study, UNDP reports for Mongolia and North and South Korea, Berkeley.
- April 1992: “Moving Target, Korea’s Nuclear Proliferation Potential,” paper to Asian Pacific Peace Research Conference, Christchurch, February 1992; also available as working paper from Department of International Relations, ANU, 1992; also in Sekai magazine, Tokyo; and in Korean Journal of International Studies.
- February 1992: “Moving Target, North Korea’s Nuclear Potential,” Peace Research, pp. 6-11.
- November 7, 1991: “Kim’s Elusive Bomb,” Far Eastern Economic Review, 154: 45, pp. 10-11; also in Sisa Journal (Seoul), November.
- September 1991: Greenhouse Reduction Regimes: Evaluating the Costs, report to Department of the Arts, Sport, the Environment, Tourism and Territories, Nautilus Pacific Research, Melbourne.
- 1991: Co-author, Chasing Gravity’s Rainbow, Kwajalein and U.S. Ballistic Missile Testing, Centre for Defense and Strategic Studies, Australian National University, Canberra.
- 1991: “Sustainable Energy Futures–Balance vs Integration Paradigms,” in N. Bierbaum ed, Towards Ecological Sustainability, Centre for Environment and Sustainable Development, Flinders University, Adelaide, pp. 45-49.
- 1990: Proliferation Potential in Korea, Working Paper, Peace Research Centre, Australian National University, Canberra.
- May 1990: Co-author, Images of Asian-Pacific Futures, in Ministry of External Relations and Trade, Proceedings of the Pacific Security Symposium, Wellington, New Zealand.
- 1990: Pacific Powderkeg, American Nuclear Dilemmas in Korea, Lexington Books, Lexington Massachusetts, also published by Hanul Press in Seoul, translated into Korean.
- 1990: “South Korean Nuclear Trade,” paper to UCLA Center for International and Strategic Affairs Conference on Emerging Nuclear Suppliers and Nonproliferation, Bellagio, Italy, August l987, published as “Korea” in W. Potter, ed, International Nuclear Trade and Non Proliferation, The Challenge of the Emerging Suppliers, Lexington Books, pp. 293-329.
- 1989: “Hall of Mirrors, American Nuclear Deterrence in Korea,” in Centre for Peace and Conflict Studies, Beyond Deterrence, University of Sydney, pp. 45-58.
- November 1989: “Rand’s Nuclear Nightmares in Asia,” Sekai (Tokyo).
- September 7, 1989: “The Conventional Arms Race and Arms Control in Korea,” paper to Institute of Global Strategic Studies conference, Seattle.
- September 1989: (under pseudonym), “The Rise and Fall of Pacific Command,” Sekai (Tokyo), pp. 272-286.
- December 1988: “American Nuclear Hegemony in the Pacific,” Journal of Peace Research, volume 25, no 4, p. 351.
- April 1988: Co-author, National Rural Electrification Master Plan, Pakistan, report to U.S. AID/Government of Pakistan, Lahore, Pakistan.
- December 1986: “Extended Nuclear Deterrence in Korea: Some Problems,” paper to U.S.-Korean Security Studies Council, Conference, Bloomington Indiana.
- July 1986: Co-author, “Arms Control in the North Pacific,” paper to 7th International Conference on Asia Pacific, Nahodka, USSR.
- June 1986: “Nuclear Accidents: The Risks in Warship Visits,” Current Affairs Bulletin, volume 63, no 1, June 1986, pp. 4-11.
- April, 1986: Co-author, “Pacific Arms Control and Regional Initiatives,” paper to United Nations University Conference, Peace and Security in Oceania, Auckland.
- 1986: Co-author, “Die Amerikanische Bedrohung: Die US-Marine breitet sich auf einen Pazifischen Krieg vor,” in edited P. Franke, Die Militarisierung Des Pazifik, Informationszentrum Dritte Welt/Freiburg Sudostasien Informationsstelle, Bremen.
- May 23, 1985: Co-author, “Geopolitical Analysis of Northeast Asia, The Prospects for War, Peace, and Reunification of Korea,” paper to Annual Meeting of the Association of Korean Christian Scholars, Washington DC.
- 1985: Co-author, “The U.S. and ANZUS, The Nuclear Peril in the Pacific,” in edited C.Dann and B. Harford, Beyond ANZUS, Alternatives for Australia, New Zealand, and the Pacific, Ross Publications, Auckland.
- December 1984: Co-author, Warships and Warheads, U.S.-Pacific Connections, Nautilus Pacific Research monograph.
- Summer 1984: Co-author and editor, “Pacific Alert,” special issue, Southeast Asia Chronicle, no 95, November 1984, pp. 1-27.
- May 1984: co-author, “Bechtel: A Tale of Corruption,” Multinational Monitor, no 5, volume 5, May 1984, pp. 10-22.
- October 1983: Co-author, Report of the Regional Rural Electrification Survey, report to the Energy Planning Unit, Asian Development Bank, Manila,. 2 volumes.
- Fall, 1983: Pseudoym (John Harris) and Co-author, “Nuclear Power in the Philippines: “The Plague that Poisons Morong!”” Review of Radical Political Economics, volume 15, no 3, Fall 1983, pp. 51-65.
- 1982: Rural Energy Needs, Somalia; Energy Investment Options, Somalia; Energy Supply-Demand for Somalia; Energy Development International, Wash DC for Gov. of Somalia and World Bank.
- 1982: Co-author, “Dumping Reactors in Asia: The U.S. Export-Import Bank and Nuclear Power in South Korea,” Japan-Asia Quarterly, part 1, volume 14, no 1, 1982, pp. 30-35; part 2, volume 14, no 2, 1982, pp. 16-23.
- 1981: Author and editor, Southern Perspectives on the Rural Energy Crisis, Nautilus Int. Inc, ELC, CONGO for UN Conf. on New and Renewable Energy, Nairobi.
- 1980: “No Frontiers: Notes on Transnational Networks,” Journal of Community Communications, volume 4, no 1, summer, pp. 21-25.
- 1979: Co-author, 500 Mile Island, the Philippines Nuclear Program, special issue of Pacific Research, volume 10, no 1, 1st quarter, 1979.
- 1979: Electrification in the Philippines,” Social Alternatives, volume 1, no 5.
- 1977: Author, “Symbolic Protests and Friends of the Earth,” Friends of the Earth Victoria, manuscript, 1977.
- 1977: Uranium and the Third World, Atoms for the Poor? FOE, Melbourne, 1977
- 1977: Atoms for the Poor? Nuclear Power and the Third World, report to Community Aid Abroad and Action for World Development, 2 volumes, Melbourne.
- 1977 August: “How the Bomb Works,” The Merri Creek, Or Nero, 1/1977.
- 1977: What Price the Earth?, FOE Melbourne.
- 1977: “The term “NGO”, provisional comments by the NGO Environment Liaison Centre,” International Associations, number 4, pp. 136-138.
- 1976: The Potential for Environmental Action, report of a global survey to the UN Environment Programme, Nairobi.