Special Reports are longer, often more technical, documents consisting of entire articles, government statements, and other documents relevant to security and peace in Northeast Asia.
PLAYING THE JAPAN NUCLEAR CARD: DID THE US SECRETARY OF STATE REVERSE FIVE DECADES OF US NON-PROLIFERATION POLICY?
By Peter Hayes March 21, 2017 I. INTRODUCTION This essay by Peter Hayes analyzes the significance of US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson’s statements that Japanese and South Korean nuclear proliferation are “on the table” in negotiations with China over what to do about North Korea. Hayes concludes that: “Tillerson’s playing the nuclear […]Go to the article
CONTINUATION OF POLICY WITH OTHER MEANS: ENSURING THAT THE MARCH-APRIL 2017 US-ROK MILITARY EXERCISES DO NOT INCREASE THE RISK OF WAR
Peter Hayes, Director, Nautilus Institute and Professor Center for International Security Studies, Sydney University February 15, 2017 I. INTRODUCTION This essay by Peter Hayes argues that it is critical that military exercises not pre-empt US political objectives while President Donald Trump comes to grips with the “multilemma” that North Korean’s nuclear breakout poses for US […]Go to the article
David von Hippel and Peter Hayes February 14, 2017 I. INTRODUCTION This essay by David von Hippel, Nautilus Institute Senior Associate and Peter Hayes, Nautilus Institute Executive Director, analyzes the potential impacts of UNSC sanctions on North Korean coal exports to China, and how China may apply these sanctions in 2017. They argue that “China […]Go to the article
Australia’s participation in the Pine Gap enterprise Desmond Ball, Bill Robinson and Richard Tanter 9 June 2016 Full report available here [1.7 MB]. Summary Australian participation in the operation of Pine Gap is effectively complete, with access to all areas of the base except the US National Cryptographic Room. The senior Australian Defence officials who […]Go to the article
NAPSNET Special Report Peter Hayes and Roger Cavazos March 29, 2016 I. INTRODUCTION North Korea upgraded its nuclear and military power and grew its economy slightly, thereby realizing Kim Jong Un’s byungjin line. It also attempted to open new external fronts and to coerce the South to cooperate on its terms, but failed. Instead, it […]Go to the article
THE ANTENNAS OF PINE GAP Desmond Ball, Bill Robinson and Richard Tanter 22 February 2016 Full report available here [7 MB]. Online-optimized version for faster download here [ 2.6 MB]. I. Introduction Antennas are the most readily available and visible evidence of the existence, character, and size of signals intelligence facilities that operate or monitor space […]Go to the article
US signals intelligence (SIGINT) activities in Japan 1945 – 2015: A Visual Guide Desmond Ball and Richard Tanter 23 December 2015 Full report available here [6MB]. I. Introduction The US maintained signals intelligence (SIGINT) activities at about 100 sites in Japan during the Cold War, probably than in any other country. In Japan today, about 1,000 […]Go to the article
by Peter Hayes, Joan Diamond and Kiho Yi 16 December 2015 I. Introduction “Another way that civil society has tried to embrace the uncertainty posed by rising complexity is to envision possible shared futures and to develop robust, joint strategies that anticipate the inevitable surprises that lie in store… Just as we must create […]Go to the article
by Desmond Ball, Bill Robinson and Richard Tanter 24 November 2015 The full report is available here. NAPSNet Special Report I. Introduction The management of operations at the Pine Gap facility has become increasingly complex as the functions of the station have expanded, the number of agencies involved has grown, and the demands of a wider […]Go to the article
by Andrew De Wit 26 October 2015 II. Introduction The present article argues that the LDP’s green-energy proponents aim at revitalizing local economies through renewable energy, growing strategic sectors of the economy, bolstering national security (especially energy security), enhancing resilience in the face of natural and other disasters, as well as dealing with the threat […]Go to the article