Special Reports are longer, often more technical, documents consisting of entire articles, government statements, and other documents relevant to security and peace in Northeast Asia.
NAPSNet, Special Reports
ASSESSING THE DPRK’S KN-09 300 MM MULTIPLE ROCKET LAUNCHER SYSTEM: DECISIVE OR INCREMENTAL?
PETER D. ZIMMERMAN JUNE 10, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, the author argues that although the KN09 MRLS “brings many more ROK and United States targets, including all of the Seoul metropolitan area, within range of artillery bombardment from the North,” its specific capabilities and relatively small numbers lead to “the conclusion that the […]
Go to the articleENERGY ENGAGEMENT OPTIONS TO SUPPORT A KOREAN PENINSULA DENUCLEARIZATION DEAL
DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES May 28, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors outline “an array of possible energy sector assistance projects that might be implemented as part of an overarching agreement with the DPRK to denuclearize the Korean Peninsula. Most of these options have elements that can be implemented in […]
Go to the articleA KOREAN NUCLEAR WEAPONS-FREE ZONE TREATY AND NUCLEAR EXTENDED DETERRENCE: OPTIONS FOR DENUCLEARIZING THE KOREAN PENINSULA
MORTON HALPERIN, PETER HAYES, LEON SIGAL APRIL 12 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors tackle three tasks. First, they offer a way to address potential DPRK doubts about unilateral US negative security assurances by means of a legally binding and enduring multilateral treaty to establish either a regional Nuclear Weapons-Free Zone (NWFZ) on […]
Go to the articleGENERAL ROADMAP AND WORK PLAN FOR NUCLEAR DIPLOMACY WITH NORTH KOREA
MORTON HALPERIN, PETER HAYES, THOMAS PICKERING, LEON SIGAL APRIL 10 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors posit two alternatives for a successful summit. These are “a comprehensive settlement of the nuclear issue or a suspension of nuclear and missile testing and fissile material production under two different conditions — that the North […]
Go to the articleJAPAN’S POST-FUKUSHIMA CHOICE: FUTURE NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE PATHS AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS
DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES APRIL 6 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, David von Hippel and Peter Hayes address the vulnerability of Japan’s spent fuel to non-state attack by evaluating three “paths” for the future of the Japanese nuclear energy sector and management of spent nuclear fuel. The minor differences between the paths in terms […]
Go to the articleTHE AUGUST 1976 INCIDENT REVISITED—THE LAST NEARLY NUCLEAR WAR IN KOREA
PETER HAYES MARCH 2, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION This essay by Peter Hayes suggests that the August 1976 crisis presents important parallels to today’s situation in Korea that bear on the risk of war and the use of nuclear weapons in a renewed Korean conflict. Writes Hayes, “Since 1976, no American president has allowed such a […]
Go to the articleRADIOLOGICAL RISK FROM ACCIDENT OR ATTACK AT NUCLEAR ENERGY FACILITIES IN CHINA
DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES FEBRUARY 22, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, David von Hippel and Peter Hayes conclude that: “A worst case” event involving one of the Ling’Ao spent fuel pools could yield exposures sufficient to cause hundreds of thousands of premature cancer deaths and almost certainly require the abandonment of one […]
Go to the articleUS FORCES KOREA: NONCOMBATANT EMERGENCY EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS
PETER HAYES FEBRUARY 8, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Peter Hayes describes US Force Korea’s “NONCOMBATANT EMERGENCY EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS” issued in 1967, 1983, and 2010. He concludes that: “These documents provide a realistic sense of the demanding, time consuming, and complicated task of evacuating noncombatants from Korea, and suggest it would be difficult […]
Go to the articlePEACEMAKING IN PURSUIT OF NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT: COMPREHENSIVE MOVES TOWARDS A NUCLEAR-FREE KOREAN PENINSULA CONFERENCE SYNTHESIS REPORT
PETER HAYES AND BINOY KAMPMARK JANUARY 25, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this synthesis report, Peter Hayes and Binoy Kampmark summarize and assess deliberations between policymakers, analysts and experts on the subject of a future nuclear-free Korean Peninsula at the Korean National Diplomatic Academy (KNDA), Seoul, the Republic of Korea (ROK), on December 11 and 12, […]
Go to the articleNON-STATE TERRORISM AND INADVERTENT NUCLEAR WAR
PETER HAYES JANUARY 18, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Peter Hayes concludes that: “Each nuclear armed state will make its moves in response to the posited terrorist nuclear attack partly in response to its expectations as to how other nuclear armed states will perceive and respond to these moves—and considered together, it is obvious […]
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