Special Reports

Special Reports are longer, often more technical, documents consisting of entire articles, government statements, and other documents relevant to security and peace in Northeast Asia.

NAPSNet, Special Reports

DPRK RAILROAD AND SHIPPING SECTOR IMPORTS AND EXPORTS FROM AND TO CHINA AND OTHER NATIONS, 2000-2017:  IMPLICATIONS FOR THE STATUS OF THE RAIL AND SHIPPING SUB-SECTORS IN THE DPRK ENERGY ECONOMY

DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES SEPTEMBER 5, 2018   I.  INTRODUCTION In this Special Report, the authors find that overall, “the DPRK has increased purchases of in many rail and ship HS categories in the last seven or so years, relative to 2000 through 2009, but the aggregate value of these purchases is much […]

Go to the article

DPRK MOTOR VEHICLE IMPORTS FROM CHINA, 2000-2017:  IMPLICATIONS FOR DPRK ENERGY ECONOMY

DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES AUGUST 23 2018 I. INTRODUCTION   In this Special Report, the authors find that DPRK-China trade statistics show that the DPRK transportation sector “is becoming more modern, mechanized, and, significantly, more dependent on motor fuels than in previous decades.” David von Hippel is Nautilus Institute Senior Associate.  Peter Hayes […]

Go to the article

ASSESSING THE DPRK’S KN-09 300 MM MULTIPLE ROCKET LAUNCHER SYSTEM: DECISIVE OR INCREMENTAL? 

PETER D. ZIMMERMAN JUNE 10, 2018    I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, the author argues that although the KN09 MRLS “brings many more ROK and United States targets, including all of the Seoul metropolitan area, within range of artillery bombardment from the North,” its specific capabilities and relatively small numbers lead to “the conclusion that the […]

Go to the article

ENERGY ENGAGEMENT OPTIONS TO SUPPORT A KOREAN PENINSULA DENUCLEARIZATION DEAL

DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES May 28, 2018 I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, the authors outline “an array of possible energy sector assistance projects that might be implemented as part of an overarching agreement with the DPRK to denuclearize the Korean Peninsula.   Most of these options have elements that can be implemented in […]

Go to the article

A KOREAN NUCLEAR WEAPONS-FREE ZONE TREATY AND NUCLEAR EXTENDED DETERRENCE:  OPTIONS FOR DENUCLEARIZING THE KOREAN PENINSULA

MORTON HALPERIN, PETER HAYES, LEON SIGAL APRIL 12 2018  I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, the authors tackle three tasks. First, they offer a way to address potential DPRK doubts about unilateral US negative security assurances by means of a legally binding and enduring multilateral treaty to establish either a regional Nuclear Weapons-Free Zone (NWFZ) on […]

Go to the article

GENERAL ROADMAP AND WORK PLAN FOR NUCLEAR DIPLOMACY WITH NORTH KOREA

MORTON HALPERIN, PETER HAYES, THOMAS PICKERING, LEON SIGAL APRIL 10 2018   I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors posit two alternatives for a successful summit.  These are “a comprehensive settlement of the nuclear issue or a suspension of nuclear and missile testing and fissile material production under two different conditions — that the North […]

Go to the article

JAPAN’S POST-FUKUSHIMA CHOICE: FUTURE NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE PATHS AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS

DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES APRIL 6 2018 I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, David von Hippel and Peter Hayes address the vulnerability of Japan’s spent fuel to non-state attack by evaluating three “paths” for the future of the Japanese nuclear energy sector and management of spent nuclear fuel. The minor differences between the paths in terms […]

Go to the article

THE AUGUST 1976 INCIDENT REVISITED—THE LAST NEARLY NUCLEAR WAR IN KOREA

PETER HAYES MARCH 2, 2018 I.  INTRODUCTION This essay by Peter Hayes suggests that the August 1976 crisis presents important parallels to today’s situation in Korea that bear on the risk of war and the use of nuclear weapons in a renewed Korean conflict.  Writes Hayes, “Since 1976, no American president has allowed such a […]

Go to the article

RADIOLOGICAL RISK FROM ACCIDENT OR ATTACK AT NUCLEAR ENERGY FACILITIES IN CHINA

DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES FEBRUARY 22, 2018 I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, David von Hippel and Peter Hayes conclude that: “A worst case” event involving one of the Ling’Ao spent fuel pools could yield exposures sufficient to cause hundreds of thousands of premature cancer deaths and almost certainly require the abandonment of one […]

Go to the article

US FORCES KOREA: NONCOMBATANT EMERGENCY EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS

PETER HAYES FEBRUARY 8, 2018    I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, Peter Hayes describes US Force Korea’s “NONCOMBATANT EMERGENCY EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS” issued in 1967, 1983, and 2010.  He concludes that: “These documents provide a realistic sense of the demanding, time consuming, and complicated task of evacuating noncombatants from Korea, and suggest it would be difficult […]

Go to the article