Nautilus Institute’s Policy Forum‘s focus is on the timely publication of expert analysis and op-ed style pieces on the foremost of security-related issues to Northeast Asia. Its mission is to facilitate a multilateral flow of information among an international network of policy-makers, analysts, scholars, media, and readers. Policy Forum essays are typically from a wide range of expertise, political orientations, as well as geographic regions and seeks to present readers with opinions and analysis by experts on the issues as well as alternative voices not typically presented or heard. Feedback, comments, responses from Policy Forum readers are highly encouraged.
EXCELLENT KOREA OPTIONS FOR THE LONG TERM
James Goodby August 1, 2017 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, James Goodby argues that there are excellent options for dealing with North Korea’s nuclear weapons program “but these can become visible only if one approaches the problem posed by North Korea with the long view in mind.” These include the steps needed to end […]Go to the article
A STRATEGY FOR DEALING WITH NORTH KOREA
Leon V. Sigal July 28, 2017 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Leon V. Sigal argues that North Korea’s unbounded weapons program “poses a clear and present danger to U.S. and allied security. That makes it a matter of great urgency to negotiate a suspension of its nuclear and missile testing and fissile material production […]Go to the article
ENDING THE NORTH KOREAN NUCLEAR THREAT BY A COMPREHENSIVE SECURITY SETTLEMENT IN NORTHEAST ASIA
ENDING THE NORTH KOREAN NUCLEAR THREAT BY A COMPREHENSIVE SECURITY SETTLEMENT IN NORTHEAST ASIA Morton Halperin, Peter Hayes, Chung-in Moon, Thomas Pickering, Leon Sigal June 28, 2017 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors argue “that a US-ROK coordinated approach can be built on the foundation of a plausible, concrete concept of a comprehensive […]Go to the article
THE DPRK’S INTENDED NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTION TO COMMITMENTS UNDER THE UNFCCC: A CLIMATE CHANGE WINDOW INTO THE DPRK ENERGY SECTOR
David von Hippel and Peter Hayes June 7, 2017 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, David von Hippel and Peter Hayes suggest that the emissions data reported in the DPRK’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution of Democratic People’s Republic of Korea submitted to the UN are broadly consistent with previously compiled energy supply-demand balances prepared for the […]Go to the article
IS THE UNITED NATIONS AIMING TO DESTROY NORTH KOREA?
Alexander Vorontsov May 19, 2017 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Alexander Vorontsov shares his concerns about the United Nations imposing an economic embargo on the DPRK and the possible implications for the United Nations. Alexander Vorontsov is Head of Korea and Mongolia Department, Institute of Oriental studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences, and Associated Professor Oriental Studies […]Go to the article
PRESIDENTIAL CALLS AND THE KOREAN PENINSULA
By Peter Hayes April 26, 2017 I. INTRODUCTION This essay by Peter Hayes suggests that after three US-China presidential phone calls, President Trump appears to be the supplicant in the relationship; and increasingly so as the risk of war increases in Korea. Peter Hayes is Director of the Nautilus Institute and Honorary Professor at the […]Go to the article
COULD CYBER ATTACKS DEFEAT NORTH KOREAN MISSILE TESTS?
Markus Schiller and Peter Hayes March 6, 2017 I. INTRODUCTION This essay by Markus Schiller and Peter Hayes suggests that it is improbable that US cyber attacks were the cause of DPRK intermediate range missile failures as was suggested in a March 6, 2017 New York Times story. Markus Schiller is an aerospace engineer, with rocket […]Go to the article
ANZUS WILL ENDURE
by Paul Barratt, former Secretary, Australian Department of Defence February 2, 2017 I. INTRODUCTION This essay by Paul Barratt, former Secretary, Australian Department of Defence, responds to the confusion and uncertainty generated by President Trump’s dismissive and angry response to the deal struck by the Obama Administration to accept 1,250 refugees from Australia. The author […]Go to the article
SANCTIONING KEROSENE AND JET FUEL IN NORTH KOREA
NAPSNet Policy Forum Peter Hayes, David von Hippel, and Roger Cavazos March 10, 2016 I. Introduction Paragraph 31 of the UN Security Council’s sanction resolution 2270 passed on March 2, 2016 specifically takes aim at jet fuel and kerosene-type rocket fuel by the North Korean military. As the DPRK likely makes its own rocket fuel, […]Go to the article
THE OFF-RAMP WITH NORTH KOREA
NAPSNet Policy Forum By Leon V. Sigal March 3, 2016 I. Introduction Leon Sigal analyzes the recent steps toward negotiations with North Korea. He quotes an interview with U.S. Ambassador Sung Kim, “when we conveyed to Pyongyang that we are open to dialogue to discuss how we can resume credible and meaningful negotiations, of course we meant […]Go to the article