Policy Forum

Nautilus Institute’s Policy Forum‘s focus is on the timely publication of expert analysis and op-ed style pieces on the foremost of security-related issues to Northeast Asia. Its mission is to facilitate a multilateral flow of information among an international network of policy-makers, analysts, scholars, media, and readers. Policy Forum essays are typically from a wide range of expertise, political orientations, as well as geographic regions and seeks to present readers with opinions and analysis by experts on the issues as well as alternative voices not typically presented or heard. Feedback, comments, responses from Policy Forum readers are highly encouraged.

NAPSNet, Policy Forum

RUSSIA, AMERICA AND NUCLEAR THRESHOLD(S)

ROBERT AYSON SEPTEMBER 30 2022 INTRODUCTION In this essay, Robert Ayson argues that “Putin’s nuclear rhetoric is unlikely to disappear or become more reasonable. But what he decides to do with Russia’s nuclear arsenal matters more than what he chooses to say about it.” He concludes that “it’s time for Asia-Pacific powers–especially India and China–to […]

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THE CROSSROADS OF ATOMIC WARFARE IN ONE FAMILY

MICHAEL ROACH AUGUST 6 2022 I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, Michael Roach provides a remarkable account of multigenerational involvement in nuclear war, starting with a previously unpublished photo of the starboard nose of the Enola Gay bomber that delivered the first atomic bomb and returned to Tinian airfield, showing the inscription “First Atomic Bomb […]

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SCOTT MORRISON’S GIANT NUCLEAR ELECTION PLOY

ALLAN BEHM SEPTEMBER 18, 2021 I. INTRODUCTION Allan Behm states that: “Australia’s decision to join with the United States and the United Kingdom to build Australian long-range nuclear-powered submarines (SSNs) has little to do with the defence of Australia. The aim is to make possible an Australian contribution to US battle plans against China which […]

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TOWARD AN ORGANIZATION FOR SECURITY AND COOPERATION IN NORTHEAST ASIA

JAMES GOODBY AND MARKKU HEISKANEN AUGUST 11 2021 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay James Goodby and Markku Heiskanen argue that: “It is clear that a multilateral mechanism that would promote dialogue among nations is now badly needed in Northeast Asia. Not that dialogue alone will remove the distrust that prevails in the region, but the […]

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MYSTIFYING PINE GAP, DISTORTING DES BALL: NOTES ON BRIAN TOOHEY’S SECRET: THE MAKING OF AUSTRALIA’S SECURITY STATE

RICHARD TANTER JANUARY 11, 2021 I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, Richard Tanter argues that Brian Toohey misrepresents Ball’s arguments concerning Pine Gap as well as misstates or misunderstands other important factual aspects of the debate about the role of the Pine Gap facility. Richard Tanter is Senior Research Associate at the Nautilus Institute and […]

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BIDEN’S COVID19 MULTILATERALISM AND KOREAN DENUCLEARIZATION

PETER HAYES JANUARY 3, 2021 I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, Peter Hayes suggests that: “With ROK leadership in the US-ROK alliance, it may be possible to get the Biden Administration to support substantial public health assistance and engagement of the DPRK on humanitarian grounds, in turn rebuilding trust between KJU and Biden to the […]

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HIDING FROM THE LIGHT: THE ESTABLISHMENT OF THE JOINT AUSTRALIA-UNITED STATES RELAY GROUND STATION AT PINE GAP

RICHARD TANTER NOVEMBER 2, 2019   I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, the author discusses recently released Australian cabinet papers dealing with a decision in September 1997 to allow the establishment of a Joint Australia-United States Relay Ground Station at Pine Gap to support two United States early warning satellite systems in place of its predecessor, […]

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FROM ENEMIES TO SECURITY PARTNERS: PATHWAYS TO DENUCLEARIZATION IN KOREA

MORTON HALPERIN, PETER HAYES, THOMAS PICKERING, LEON SIGAL, PHILIP YUN JULY 6 2018 I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, the authors examine the pros and cons of shifting from enmity to a security partnership with the DPRK in which US Forces Korea might play “a pivot-deterrent role between the two Koreas as well as a stabilizing […]

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RAPID RELIEF OF HUMANITARIAN STRESS FROM ENERGY SANCTIONS: BUILDING ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND SOLAR PV MEASURES FOR RAPID INSTALLATION IN PYONGYANG

DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES APRIL 18, 2018 I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, the authors outline a program that could insulate about 10 percent of the household dwellings in Pyongyang and a solar-cell powered micro-grid that would demonstrate the way to rehabilitate the DPRK’s power grid, both achievable cheaply and within six months […]

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MANAGING THE JOINT SECURITY AREA AND THE RISK OF WAR IN KOREA

PETER HAYES FEBRUARY 13, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Peter Hayes argues: “In short, sudden surprise events, the use of weapons, and subsequent escalation remain all too possible at the JSA.  It is essential that the tension be reduced and underlying conditions that lead to defections be addressed while the Korean conflict is resolved […]

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