Policy Forum

Nautilus Institute’s Policy Forum‘s focus is on the timely publication of expert analysis and op-ed style pieces on the foremost of security-related issues to Northeast Asia. Its mission is to facilitate a multilateral flow of information among an international network of policy-makers, analysts, scholars, media, and readers. Policy Forum essays are typically from a wide range of expertise, political orientations, as well as geographic regions and seeks to present readers with opinions and analysis by experts on the issues as well as alternative voices not typically presented or heard. Feedback, comments, responses from Policy Forum readers are highly encouraged.

NAPSNet, Policy Forum

RAPID RELIEF OF HUMANITARIAN STRESS FROM ENERGY SANCTIONS: BUILDING ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND SOLAR PV MEASURES FOR RAPID INSTALLATION IN PYONGYANG

DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES APRIL 18, 2018 I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, the authors outline a program that could insulate about 10 percent of the household dwellings in Pyongyang and a solar-cell powered micro-grid that would demonstrate the way to rehabilitate the DPRK’s power grid, both achievable cheaply and within six months […]

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MANAGING THE JOINT SECURITY AREA AND THE RISK OF WAR IN KOREA

PETER HAYES FEBRUARY 13, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Peter Hayes argues: “In short, sudden surprise events, the use of weapons, and subsequent escalation remain all too possible at the JSA.  It is essential that the tension be reduced and underlying conditions that lead to defections be addressed while the Korean conflict is resolved […]

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NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, THE NPT AND THE BAN TREATY: PROVEN INEFFECTIVENESS VERSUS UNPROVEN NORMATIVE POTENTIAL

RAMESH THAKUR JANUARY 9, 2018 I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, Ramesh Thakur notes that “in 50 years, not one nuclear warhead has been eliminated as the result of a bilateral or multilateral agreement concluded under the NPT’s authority. This proven ineffectiveness has discredited the NPT as the sole disarmament framework and fed the exasperation behind […]

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THE NORTH KOREAN NUCLEAR PROBLEM

KEVIN RUDD DECEMBER 21, 2017 I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, Kevin Rudd argues: “Diplomacy will be essential to avoid sleepwalking into war in Northeast Asia, and to achieve the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. The key objective is to preserve peace and prosperity in the region. Armed conflict on the Korean Peninsula is an increasing possibility – […]

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THE DUTY TO DISOBEY ILLEGAL NUCLEAR STRIKE ORDERS

ANTHONY J. COLANGELO OCTOBER 9, 2017 I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, Anthony Colangelo argues that: “There is a legal duty to disobey illegal nuclear strike orders. Failure to carry out this duty may result in criminal and civil liability under national and international law… [T]hose ordered to plan or launch a nuclear strike are on […]

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IMPACT OF UNSC RESOLUTION 2375 ON DPRK OIL IMPORTS

David von Hippel and Peter Hayes September 12, 2017 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, David von Hippel and Peter Hayes review estimates of the fraction of North Korean refined product imports and total oil imports that will be affected by UNSC Resolution 2375.  They find that (assuming the sanctions contained in the Resolution function as […]

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EXCELLENT KOREA OPTIONS FOR THE LONG TERM

James Goodby     August 1, 2017 I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, James Goodby argues that there are excellent options for dealing with North Korea’s nuclear weapons program “but these can become visible only if one approaches the problem posed by North Korea with the long view in mind.”  These include the steps needed to end […]

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A STRATEGY FOR DEALING WITH NORTH KOREA

Leon V. Sigal July 28, 2017   I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Leon V. Sigal argues that North Korea’s unbounded weapons program “poses a clear and present danger to U.S. and allied security. That makes it a matter of great urgency to negotiate a suspension of its nuclear and missile testing and fissile material production […]

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ENDING THE NORTH KOREAN NUCLEAR THREAT BY A COMPREHENSIVE SECURITY SETTLEMENT IN NORTHEAST ASIA

ENDING THE NORTH KOREAN NUCLEAR THREAT BY A COMPREHENSIVE SECURITY SETTLEMENT IN NORTHEAST ASIA Morton Halperin, Peter Hayes, Chung-in Moon, Thomas Pickering, Leon Sigal June 28, 2017    I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, the authors argue “that a US-ROK coordinated approach can be built on the foundation of a plausible, concrete concept of a comprehensive […]

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THE DPRK’S INTENDED NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTION TO COMMITMENTS UNDER THE UNFCCC: A CLIMATE CHANGE WINDOW INTO THE DPRK ENERGY SECTOR

David von Hippel and Peter Hayes June 7, 2017    I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, David von Hippel and Peter Hayes suggest that the emissions data reported in the DPRK’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution of Democratic People’s Republic of Korea submitted to the UN are broadly consistent with previously compiled energy supply-demand balances prepared for the […]

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