Special Reports are longer, often more technical, documents consisting of entire articles, government statements, and other documents relevant to security and peace in Northeast Asia.
NAPSNet, Special Reports
North Korea’s nuclear force roadmap: hard choices
by Peter Hayes and Roger Cavazos NAPSNet Special Report 2 March 2015 I. SUMMARY In this report Peter Hayes and Roger Cavazos lay out a possible roadmap for North Korea’s nuclear operational force. The authors state: “The laws of physics that determine how nuclear weapons and delivery systems perform are the same in North Korea […]
Go to the articleNuclear command-and-control in the Millennials era
In this report Peter Hayes writes about the risk of nuclear war and complexity. He states that “very few leaders or even strategic scholars pay attention to the new complexity of the operating environment in which national nuclear command-and-control systems operate, or the new characteristics of the command-and-control systems and their supporting CISR systems that may contribute to the problem of loss-of-control and rapid escalation to nuclear war.
“Today, the underlying ground is moving beneath the feet of nuclear-armed states. The enormous flow across borders of people, containers, and information, and the growth of connectivity between cities, corporations, and communities across borders, is recasting the essential nature of security itself to a networked flux of events and circumstances that no agency or state can control. The meta-system of nuclear command-and control systems has emerged in this new post-modern human condition.”
Go to the articleKim Jong-un’s 2015 New Year Speech
Peter Hayes and Roger Cavazos analyze Kim Jong-un’s 2014 New Year’s speech. They find that the speech provide…
Go to the article동북아 비핵지대를 통한 핵 위협의 종식
동북아 비핵지대를 통한 핵 위협의 종식[1] 피터 헤이지(노틸러스 연구소) http://www.kdjlibrary.org/ 6 January 2015 English version (영어 버전) here 요약 본 글은 동북아 지역에서 핵 위협이 어떻게 국가간의 관계에서 형성되고 있고, 비핵국가에 대한 그러한 위협을 감소시키고 종식시키기 위해서는 어떤 노력을 기울어야 하는지 설명하고자 작성된 것이다. 또한 동북아 비핵무기지대(이하 비핵지대)가 어떻게 이러한 핵 위협을 종식시킬 수 있고, […]
Go to the articleEnding Nuclear Threat via a Northeast Asia Nuclear Weapons-Free Zone
Peter Hayes Nautilus Institute NAPSNet Special Report January 6, 2015 This special report was first presented at the Nuclear Free Korea and Northeast Asia Conference, Kim Dae-jung Presidential Library, December 10, 2014, Seoul. Korean version (한국어 버전) here I. Summary This background paper sketches how nuclear threat is woven into inter-state relations in the Northeast […]
Go to the articleRapid Relief and Reconstruction in a DPRK Humanitarian Energy Crisis
Peter Hayes, David von Hippel, and Roger Cavazos Nautilus Institute 23 December 2014 I. SUMMARY This scoping paper identifies key issues associated with rapid relief and reconstruction for the provision of energy services that could arise in the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK). This situation could occur in three ways: a) partial energy system […]
Go to the articleOVERCOMING US-DPRK HOSTILITY: The Missing Link between a Northeast Asian Comprehensive Security Settlement and Ending the Korean War
Peter Hayes[1] Nautilus Institute NAPSNet Special Report, December 21, 2014 Originally presented at Research C…
Go to the articleKim Jong Un’s Nuclear Doctrine and Strategy: What Everyone Needs to Know
Alexandre Y. Mansourov, Ph.D. Senior Associate of Nautilus Institute North Korea has a small operational nucle…
Go to the articleJapan’s Radical Energy Technocrats: Structural Reform Through Smart Communities, the Feed-in Tariff and Japanese-Style “Stadtwerke”
Japan’s Radical Energy Technocrats: Structural Reform Through Smart Communities, the Feed-in Tariff and Japane…
Go to the articleNuclear Warfighting to Defeat a DPRK Attack: Unnecessary, Disproportionate, Incredible, and Self-Defeating
Peter Hayes Nautilus Institute Forthcoming NAPSNet Special Report November 2014 In 1978, Bryan Jack and a team of analysts at Pan Heuristics asked how nuclear weapons might be used to blunt a North Korean all-out attack on the South?[i] Their analysis (which posited South Korean nuclear weapons, but the results are identical if American nuclear […]
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