Policy Forum

Paik reviews the state of relations among the US, the ROK, and the DPRK, in the aftermath of the inspection of the underground site at Kumchangni and US DPRK Policy Coordinator William Perry’s trip to the DPRK. Paik argues that the most realistic approach would be for all sides to accept the minimum gains from the inspection and Perry’s visit. Paik concludes that, given its economic difficulties, the DPRK has no choice but to accept the comprehensive package offered by the US and the ROK.

PFO 99-05B: March 19, 1999 South Korea’s Package Deal By Ralph Cossa, Pacific Forum, CSIS Copyright (c) 1999 Nautilus of America/The Nautilus Institute CONTENTS I. Introduction II. Article by Ralph Cossa I. Introduction This is the second in a series of articles on the current state of US, ROK, and Japanese policy toward the DPRK. […]

South Korea’s Package Deal Ralph Cossa, Pacific Forum, CSIS NAPSNet Policy Forum, March 19, 1999 I. Introduction This is the second in a series of articles on the current state of US, ROK, and Japanese policy toward the DPRK. This article was originally distributed by Pacific Forum, CSIS as PacNet #10 on March 12, 1999. […]

Dr. Cossa praises ROK President Kim’s proposed “package deal” with the DPRK as a “valiant attempt” to save both his own “sunshine policy” toward the DPRK and the 1994 Agreed Framework. In contrast, he criticizes both the US and Japan for lacking a comprehensive policy toward the DPRK. He argues that what is needed to bring Kim’s package to fruition is an implementing agency on the lines of KEDO, but headed by the ROK instead of the US.

The author argues that the Clinton administration’s efforts at engagement with the DPRK have failed to curb the DPRK’s missile development. He maintains that the DPRK will likely have Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles (ICBM) capable of reaching parts of the US before the US will be able to build a National Missile Defense to protect against them. He argues that the DPRK will likely use these missiles as a “diplomatic trump card” to make up for the deterioration of its conventional armed forces and to push the US to withdraw its troops from the ROK. He calls on the US to restructure its deterrence policy to make clear to the DPRK that it would face massive retaliation if it attempted to attack the US.

Looks at the prospects for effective regional action to protect the Northwest Pacific marine environment and concludes that at present the outlook is not promising.

Toward an Ocean Management Regime in the Sea of Japan NE Asian Marine Issues – #2 By Mark J. Valencia, East-West Center   Copyright (c) 1999 Nautilus of America/The Nautilus Institute CONTENTS I. Introduction II. Valencia Essay 1. Political and Natural Setting 2. Existing Regimes 3. Problems and Inadequacies of Existing Regimes 4. Steps Toward […]

This essay was written by Peter T.R. Brookes, Senior Advisor for East Asian Affairs with the Republican Staff of the Committee on International Relations in the US House of Representatives. Brookes argues that the 1994 Agreed Framework has failed to accomplish its goals of halting the DPRK’s nuclear program. He attributes this failure both to flaws in the agreement itself and the DPRK’s unwillingness to live up to its side of the bargain. He warns that, unless US concerns about the DPRK’s missile program are addressed quickly, the Agreed Framework is in danger of collapse.

NAPSNet Forum #23 –Future of Agreed Framework NAPSNet Forum #23 –Future of Agreed Framework Northeast Asia Peace and Security Network FUTURE OF AGREED FRAMEWORK #23D — November 30, 1998 The is intended to provide expert analysis of contemporary peace and security issues in Northeast Asia, and an opportunity to participate in discussion of the analysis. […]