Nautilus Peace and Security Weekly – 7 November 2013

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"Nautilus Peace and Security Weekly – 7 November 2013", NAPSNet Weekly Report, November 07, 2013,

DETERRENCE: Transcending mutual deterrence in the United States-Russian relationship, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Institute for U.S. and Canadian Studies (30 September 2013)

The historical causes of war–territorial disputes; competition for resources; and, conflicting ideologies (including religion)—are absent in the contemporary US-Russian relationship. It’s not clear why they fixate on the other’s nuclear weapons and deterrence.

DPRK: Iranian, N Korea officials to cooperate, Bangkok Post (3 November 2013)

North Korea made a rare admission that several of North Korean sailors died while training. It is unlikely the one data point, welcome as it is, represents a longer-term trend of openness. North Korea pursues nuclear capabilities via various means such as cooperation with Iran and improving indigenous missile capabilities. All these actions make talk cheap relative to the high cost of military capabilities.

ENERGY SECURITY: ‘Permanent slowdown’ seen in carbon dioxide emissions, Pilita Clark, Financial Times (31 October 2013)

Business as usual was rather unusual, after all. Despite all alleged “inaction” by the US in “fighting climate change”, its energy-related CO2 emissions have been declining in recent years and are projected to do so over the foreseeable period. Such emissions are also showing slower rise elsewhere. The causes and costs will continue to be debated, but it is clear that natural gas has popped a surprise on the world, just as it did some 30 years ago; this time in the form of “unconventional” gas.

GOVERNANCE AND CIVIL SOCIETY: South Korea President Park: “No purpose” to Japan talks, Lucy Williamson, BBC (4 November 2013)

The ROK is not warming towards the idea of talks with Japan before receiving an apology for wartime actions, saying talks would serve “no purpose”. Adding to the strained relations is a ROK court ruling ordering Mitsubishi Heavy Industries to pay compensation to ROK women forced to work at factories during wartime. The ROK appears more willing to engage with the DPRK and is asserting ownership in DPRK negotiations.


CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: The new normal: A Hong Kong business primer on climate change adaptation, Climate Change Business Forum, Hong Kong (2013)

“Businesses can’t change the weather. What they can do is assess trends, identify risks, and build resilience into their operations and supply chains. Their assessments may also reveal opportunities for new products and services to serve the emerging low-carbon economy. Acting on anticipated climate change impacts is called climate adaptation.” “Regardless of the driver, embracing climate adaptation is like embracing any sort of corporate change, which requires leadership at the top, consistency between messages and actions, and relentless follow-through.”

CLIMATE CHANGE AND SECURITY: Rethinking geopolitics: climate security in the Anthropocene, Simon Dalby, Global Policy, DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.12074 (25 October 2013) (subscription required)

“In the new geological epoch of the Anthropocene simplistic assumptions of environmental change leading directly to conflict are misleading at best and dangerous at worst. Climate security in the long run is not a matter of environmental change causing political difficulties, but rather a matter of contemporary political difficulties causing accelerating climate change. Economies that don’t further destabilize the climate are key to future security.”

The Nautilus Peace and Security Weekly Report presents articles and full length reports each week in six categories: Austral security, nuclear deterrence, energy security, climate change and security, the DPRK, climate change adaptation and governance and civil society. Our team of contributors carefully select items that highlight the links between these themes and the three regions in which our offices are found—North America, Northeast Asia, and the Austral-Asia region. 

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