Nautilus Peace and Security – 30 October

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"Nautilus Peace and Security – 30 October", NAPSNet Weekly Report, October 29, 2014, Can ASEAN Sell Its Nuclear Free Zone to the Nuclear Club? Catharin Dalpino, Sigur Center for Asian Studies, October 2014

Myanmar’s President Thein Sein will try at the November East Asia Summit to move the P5 to ratify the nuclear weapons states’ (NWS) protocols to the SEA-NWFZ treaty.  The P5 NWS may accede to the SEA-NWFZ to secure a “21st century vehicle for counter-terrorism cooperation.” Dialogue on Middle-East WMD and NEA-NWF Zones continues.

Sohu news; picture credit KCNADPRK: A Conversation with Jang Il Hun (DPRK Ambassador). Council on Foreign Relations. (20 October 2014). [Video, 1:04:35, transcript available]

The issue of human rights is generally “formless” in the Sun Tzu sense of that term and therefore mostly unresponsive to threats or military force; North Korea’s recent diplomatic surge may be a reaction to what it sees as an asymmetric threat of human rights to attack its Supreme Leader.  North Korea’s threats to pull out of talks with South Korea are a common tactic to stall for time, conditions or both.  North Korea’s multi-spectrum threats especially IF (big if) it has miniaturized a nuclear warhead, ironically, strongly justify US forces in Korea and even increase the likelihood of deploying some sort of Theater Missile Defense which negatively impacts China’s perceived security.

Source: Ko Sasaki/ New York TimesGOVERNANCE AND CIVIL SOCIETY: Japanese Village Grappling with Wartime Sins Comes Under Attack, Martin Fackler, New York Times (28 October 2014)

A group of conservative Japanese citizens online, known as the “Net Right”, are emerging with greater sway and anti-Korean sentiment, accusing cities with monuments to Korean laborers as treasonous. While these groups constitute a minority, they seem to be gaining a larger voice, with a heated public debate held between the Osaka mayor and the leader of an anti-Korean group.

Image for 30-10-2014CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: Better Growth Better Climate: The New Climate Economy Report, Global Commission on the Economy and Climate (September 2014) [3.44 MB, PDF]   

A major assessment (commissioned by governments of seven countries including: Colombia, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Norway, South Korea, Sweden and the United Kingdom) considered how best to achieve prosperity and development at the same time as reducing carbon emissions and adapting to the impacts of climate change. There is the opportunity for all economies, regardless of current economic status, to grow while still moving to a low-carbon and climate adapted future.

Operation Okra Defence dept: PEACE AND SECURITY: “Here We Go Again”, Paul Barratt, Arena Magazine 133, October 2014

Barratt: “Australia is once more embarked upon a military adventure in the Middle East, again at the behest of the United States, and again without a clear aim.” Cordesman: “The basic goal of degrading and destroying the Islamic State always bordered on the ridiculous.” (Australian) Defence Operations – Iraq : “Further information about the international effort to combat the ISIL terrorist threat in Iraq can be found at the U.S. Department of Defense website.”

The Nautilus Peace and Security Weekly Report presents articles and full length reports each week in six categories: Austral security, nuclear deterrence, energy security, climate change and security, the DPRK, climate change adaptation and governance and civil society. Our team of contributors carefully select items that highlight the links between these themes and the three regions in which our offices are found—North America, Northeast Asia, and the Austral-Asia region.

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