DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES AUGUST 23 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this Special Report, the authors find that DPRK-China trade statistics show that the DPRK transportation sector “is becoming more modern, mechanized, and, significantly, more dependent on motor fuels than in previous decades.” David von Hippel is Nautilus Institute Senior Associate. Peter Hayes […]
MORTON HALPERIN, PETER HAYES, THOMAS PICKERING, LEON SIGAL, PHILIP YUN JULY 6 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors examine the pros and cons of shifting from enmity to a security partnership with the DPRK in which US Forces Korea might play “a pivot-deterrent role between the two Koreas as well as a stabilizing […]
PETER D. ZIMMERMAN JUNE 10, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, the author argues that although the KN09 MRLS “brings many more ROK and United States targets, including all of the Seoul metropolitan area, within range of artillery bombardment from the North,” its specific capabilities and relatively small numbers lead to “the conclusion that the […]
DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES May 28, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors outline “an array of possible energy sector assistance projects that might be implemented as part of an overarching agreement with the DPRK to denuclearize the Korean Peninsula. Most of these options have elements that can be implemented in […]
PETER HAYES APRIL 24, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Peter Hayes describes how below the vast waters of Asia, new weapons of war and the methods of thwarting them are proliferating. Advances in submarines by the world’s great navies are being joined by an increasing number of states in the region that are […]
DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES APRIL 18, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors outline a program that could insulate about 10 percent of the household dwellings in Pyongyang and a solar-cell powered micro-grid that would demonstrate the way to rehabilitate the DPRK’s power grid, both achievable cheaply and within six months […]
MORTON HALPERIN, PETER HAYES, LEON SIGAL APRIL 12 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors tackle three tasks. First, they offer a way to address potential DPRK doubts about unilateral US negative security assurances by means of a legally binding and enduring multilateral treaty to establish either a regional Nuclear Weapons-Free Zone (NWFZ) on […]
MORTON HALPERIN, PETER HAYES, THOMAS PICKERING, LEON SIGAL APRIL 10 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors posit two alternatives for a successful summit. These are “a comprehensive settlement of the nuclear issue or a suspension of nuclear and missile testing and fissile material production under two different conditions — that the North […]
DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES APRIL 6 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, David von Hippel and Peter Hayes address the vulnerability of Japan’s spent fuel to non-state attack by evaluating three “paths” for the future of the Japanese nuclear energy sector and management of spent nuclear fuel. The minor differences between the paths in terms […]
PETER HAYES MARCH 29, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Peter Hayes concludes: “Given the choices being made by the nuclear armed states to re-embrace nuclear weapons, it is useful to speculate about the potential effects of quantum technology on nuclear forces, and in particular, possible consequences for NC3 systems. At least some of […]
