Nautilus Peace and Security – 23 October

Hello! The below report is written in English. To translate the full report, please use the translator in the top right corner of the page. Do not show me this notice in the future.

Recommended Citation

"Nautilus Peace and Security – 23 October", NAPSNet Weekly Report, October 23, 2014,

Def Sec Leon PanettaDETERRENCE: Worthy Warriors, Leon Panetta, Penguin, New York, 2014

In 2010, General Sharp briefed then CIA Director Leon Panetta on “use of nuclear weapons, if necessary” to defend the ROK. Panetta did not write that he briefed or agreed with the then ROK President on this warplan, as reported in ROK media. Predictably, the DPRK cited Panetta as evidence of nuclear threats that justify its nuclear weapons. “If necessary” is not defined in the book either.

KJU looking for asymmetric strategyDPRK: North Korean Strategic Strategy: Combining Conventional Warfare with the Asymmetrical Effects of Cyber Warfare. Jennifer Erlendson, Utica College. (March 2013).   [PDF, 1.03 MB]

North Korea’s moves into asymmetric warfare have to balance cost, capability and only interfering with other countries’ interests as little as possible.  North Korean cyber efforts have to be carefully calibrated since North Korea risks forging a temporary common cause between the United States, China, South Korea and Japan.  It is likely North Korean acquired a new submarine.  However, there does not appear to be a new naval doctrine for the new capability.  Training a new crew will take years and an exercise pace that North Korea has not exhibited since the fall of the Berlin Wall.

Hong-Kong-ProtestGOVERNANCE AND CIVIL SOCIETY: The Hong Kong Protests are Creating a More Ethnically Unified City, Rishi Iyengar, Time (21 October 2014)

The Umbrella Revolution protests in Hong Kong have brought together migrant workers as well as students, uniting protesters as Hong Kong community members seeking democracy and giving rise to an “urban village”. While city leaders have held a public discussion with protesters, the chief executive has said free elections are impossible as the city’s poor would dominate politics.

Pic for 23-10-2014CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: The Sustainable Development Goals – Will They Deliver Climate Compatible Development for Vulnerable Countries? Helen Picot and Nicholas Moss, Working Paper, Climate and Development Knowledge Network – CDKN (September 2014) [1.41 MB, PDF]

Climate change is one of the most pressing challenges the world faces today. It affects all aspects of the development agenda, from poverty eradication to health care, and from economic growth to disaster risk reduction. Meanwhile, the success of global action on climate change will depend on the development path taken by all countries. 2015 will be a crucial year for global action on both climate change and development.

Kathy Jetnil-Kijiner clip 2CLIMATE CHANGE AND SECURITY: Solar Dimming Reflects Complexity of Climate Change, Eco-Business (14 October 2014)

Australian PM Tony “Coal is good for humanity” Abbott may have missed the memo on climate complexity and the nature of uncertainty. A 10% (1950-2005) fall in Indian summer monsoonal rainfall – on which billions depend – can only be explained by the sun-dimming effects of air pollution. Absent US mitigation policy, the DoD is now talking climate adaptation. But uncertainty means greater risk, deeper insecurity.

The Nautilus Peace and Security Weekly Report presents articles and full length reports each week in six categories: Austral security, nuclear deterrence, energy security, climate change and security, the DPRK, climate change adaptation and governance and civil society. Our team of contributors carefully select items that highlight the links between these themes and the three regions in which our offices are found—North America, Northeast Asia, and the Austral-Asia region.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.