NAPSNet 19 January 2012

Recommended Citation

"NAPSNet 19 January 2012", NAPSNet Weekly Report, January 19, 2012, https://nautilus.org/napsnet/napsnet-weekly/napsnet-19-january-2012/

DETERRENCE: Military aspects of a study of the implications of a communist Chinese nuclear capability, B. Jaeger and M. Weiner, RAND (1963) US Freedom of Information Act to Nautilus [PDF, 2.2MB]

This report analyzes how China might use nuclear bombs to disable US aircraft carriers and bases in Korea and Taiwan that support forces blocking Chinese invasion of Taiwan; and US propensity to rely on nuclear forces in response risking nuclear war as shown in studies below.

DPRK: Kim Jong Un focuses on economic reforms, N. Korea official says, Kyodo News (17 January 2012)

According to Yang Hyong Sop, North Korea is looking to build a “knowledge-based” economy and Kim Jong-Un has been studying the economic reforms enacted in China and other countries. As an indicator of the DPRK’s economy policy under Kim Jong-Un, North Korea also passed a “corporate law” which established a system for managing corporations in the DPRK which gives them some autonomy while the state regulates sales and maintains the wage system.

CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: Catalyzing urban climate resilience: Applying resilience concepts to planning practice in the ACCCRN Program (2009-2011), Marcus Moench, Stephen Tyler and Jessica Lage (editors), Institute for Social and Environmental Transition – ISET (2011) [PDF, 21.9 MB]

The Urban Climate Resilience Planning Framework (UCRPF) represents a way of translating the growing body of natural and social scientific knowledge regarding resilience into applied planning practice. By focusing on urban systems, urban agents, urban institutions, and exposure to climate change, the UCRPF helps to identify specifically who might do what to build climate resilience.

ENERGY SECURITY: Simultaneously mitigating near-term climate change and improving human health and food security, Drew Shindell and 23 co-authors, Science (13 January 2012)

Experts from around the world collaborated on a study of global and regional impacts and costs of reducing emissions of methane (CH4) and black carbon (BC).  BC and CH4 emissions affect climate change and local/regional air pollution, with impacts on crops, mortality, etc.  Climate benefits of CH4 and BC emissions cuts are large, similar those of an IEA scenario of CO2 reduction; estimated benefits of emissions reduction far outweigh the costs.

GOVERNANCE AND CIVIL SOCIETY: Washington, Beijing’s relief over Taiwan election will be temporary, Jonathan Manthorpe, Vancouver Sun (17 January 2012)

The US and China expressed their approval of Taiwanese President Ma’s re-election, whose Beijing-friendly policies have eased tensions in recent years. However, analysts believe Ma has a weaker mandate now following his ruling party’s loss of legislative seats, while China is expected to push the unification issue. Chinese civil society praised Taiwan’s electoral process and some expect the CCP to face greater pressure to democratize.

Note: We regret that the Austral Security section is not included in this week’s NAPSNet report and apologize for any inconvenience this may cause.

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