FROM ENEMIES TO SECURITY PARTNERS: PATHWAYS TO DENUCLEARIZATION IN KOREA

MORTON HALPERIN, PETER HAYES, THOMAS PICKERING, LEON SIGAL, PHILIP YUN JULY 6 2018 I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, the authors examine the pros and cons of shifting from enmity to a security partnership with the DPRK in which US Forces Korea might play “a pivot-deterrent role between the two Koreas as well as a stabilizing […]

ENERGY ENGAGEMENT OPTIONS TO SUPPORT A KOREAN PENINSULA DENUCLEARIZATION DEAL

DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES May 28, 2018 I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, the authors outline “an array of possible energy sector assistance projects that might be implemented as part of an overarching agreement with the DPRK to denuclearize the Korean Peninsula.   Most of these options have elements that can be implemented in […]

OFF THE BEACH: UNDERWATER WARFARE IN THE 21ST CENTURY

PETER HAYES APRIL 24, 2018   I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, Peter Hayes describes how below  the vast waters of Asia, new weapons of war and the methods of thwarting them are proliferating. Advances in submarines by the world’s great navies are being joined by an increasing number of states in the region that are […]

GENERAL ROADMAP AND WORK PLAN FOR NUCLEAR DIPLOMACY WITH NORTH KOREA

MORTON HALPERIN, PETER HAYES, THOMAS PICKERING, LEON SIGAL APRIL 10 2018   I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors posit two alternatives for a successful summit.  These are “a comprehensive settlement of the nuclear issue or a suspension of nuclear and missile testing and fissile material production under two different conditions — that the North […]

JAPAN’S POST-FUKUSHIMA CHOICE: FUTURE NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE PATHS AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS

DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES APRIL 6 2018 I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, David von Hippel and Peter Hayes address the vulnerability of Japan’s spent fuel to non-state attack by evaluating three “paths” for the future of the Japanese nuclear energy sector and management of spent nuclear fuel. The minor differences between the paths in terms […]

NUCLEAR COMMAND-AND-CONTROL IN THE QUANTUM ERA

PETER HAYES MARCH 29, 2018 I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, Peter Hayes concludes:  “Given the choices being made by the nuclear armed states to re-embrace nuclear weapons, it is useful to speculate about the potential effects of quantum technology on nuclear forces, and in particular, possible consequences for NC3 systems.  At least some of […]

THE AUGUST 1976 INCIDENT REVISITED—THE LAST NEARLY NUCLEAR WAR IN KOREA

PETER HAYES MARCH 2, 2018 I.  INTRODUCTION This essay by Peter Hayes suggests that the August 1976 crisis presents important parallels to today’s situation in Korea that bear on the risk of war and the use of nuclear weapons in a renewed Korean conflict.  Writes Hayes, “Since 1976, no American president has allowed such a […]