Nautilus Peace and Security Weekly – 13 December 2012

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Roger Cavazos – DPRK Contributor, "Nautilus Peace and Security Weekly – 13 December 2012", NAPSNet Weekly Report, December 13, 2012, https://nautilus.org/napsnet/napsnet-weekly/nautilus-peace-and-security-weekly-13-december-2012/

CONTENTS

See this week’s blog: Shining Missile, Troubled Shipping, from our DPRK contributor, Roger Cavazos.

DETERRENCE:  New Chinese leader meets military nuclear officers, Jane Perlez, New York Times (6 December 2012)

China’s new leader, Xi Jinping, met with officers of China’s nuclear force, the 2nd Artillery Corps on December 5, 2012.  The Corps “is the core force of our country’s strategic deterrent, it is a strategic pillar of our great power status, and an important bedrock for protecting our national security.”

DPRK: North Korea rocket: international reaction, BBC Website (12 December 2012)

North Korea defied resolutions and expectations by successfully placing Kwangmyongsong 3-F2 in a 494 x 588 km sun-synch orbit, object 2012-072A with US catalog number 39026.  They are entering a period of national mourning to mark the one year anniversary of Kim Jong-il’s death.  Perhaps a more confident North Korea can enter talks with South Korea.  However, other much more meaningful, military developments continue apace.

BLOG: Shining Missile, Troubled Shipping

by Roger Cavazos – DPRK Contributor

OK, North Korea successfully launched a missile/rocket and stole the spotlight again like a shaman chanting wild…

ENERGY SECURITY: Doha climate conference opens gateway to greater ambition and action on climate change, Press Release UNFCCC (8 December 2012) [PDF, 140.9KB]

The new normal is anxiety and advocacy forever. WMO issues notices of some concentrations, some temperatures, some extremes for whatever they mean. Expert confidence men (and women) of various stripes declare Road Map, Accord, Platform, and now Gateway, whatever they mean. The Kyoto dead horse is given eight more years. Hot air is mostly gone. “Do something-ism” will go on. A new cuisine of numbers is being invented – L&D (loss and damage). Self-perpetuation tactics of Secretariats, Commissariats, and Professoriats. Pay respect and security money. Or else the apocalypse is around the corner.

GOVERNANCE AND CIVIL SOCIETY: Reunified Korea ‘would distance itself from U.S.’, Chosun Ilbo (12 December 2012)

A US intelligence report predicts that a reunified Korea would engage in “strategic adjustments” to free itself from US influence. While US allies in the region would become economically closer to China, they will continue to rely on the US for security, including in dealing with the DPRK’s nuclear program. China has called for a return to the six-party talks in response to the DPRK’s rocket launch on Wednesday.

CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: Climate change adaptation: where does global health fit in the agenda? Kathryn J Bowen and Sharon Friel, Globalization and Health, vol. 8, no. 10 (2012) [128 KB, PDF]

Adapting to climate change is now seen as a core component of our climate change response arsenal. This is because, unfortunately, climate change mitigation strategies alone will not prevent adverse events resulting from existing climate change; we are now too far down the climate change road to avoid the repercussions of more severe weather events, changes to agricultural yields, conflict and displacement, and the health effects that arise from all of these impacts.

AUSTRAL PEACE AND SECURITY: A sovereign submarine capability in Australia’s grand strategy, Paul Dibb, Centre of Gravity Series, Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, ANU (December 2012) [PDF, 3.74mb]

Too many players, especially in Defence, have lost sight of the centrality of Australian sovereign independence when framing Australian defence priorities. This is a consequence of operating in a subordinate role to our great American ally over the last decade. Australia’s defence strategy is now principally a maritime one. Submarines are Australia’s most important strategic asset. Nuclear submarines are not a credible option for Australia.

The Nautilus Peace and Security Weekly Report presents articles and full length reports each week in six categories: Austral security, nuclear deterrence, energy security, climate change and security, the DPRK, climate change adaptation and governance and civil society. Our team of contributors carefully select items that highlight the links between these themes and the three regions in which our offices are found—North America, Northeast Asia, and the Austral-Asia region. Each week, one of our authors also provides a short blog that explores these inter-relationships.

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