Nautilus Peace and Security Weekly – 1 November 2012

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Roger Cavazos – DPRK Contributor While Kim Han-sol’s recent video created a splash, his comments do not alter North Korea’s trajectory in any…, "Nautilus Peace and Security Weekly – 1 November 2012", NAPSNet Weekly Report, November 01, 2012,


See this week’s blog: Reformer Flame: Neutralized Moth. Why did Kim Han-sol do a TV interview? from our DPRK contributor, Roger Cavazos.

DETERRENCE:  PACOM supports China invite to RIMPAC 2014, Gidget Fuentes, Navy Times (19 September 2012)

September 17: Chinese frigate, US destroyer conduct joint anti-piracy exercise in Gulf of Aden;  September 17; September 6, Chinese coast guard ship in Honolulu for joint search-rescue exercise; PLA last in major US-led exercises, Valiant Shield, June 2006; & search-rescue exercise, offshore Hainan Island, November 2006

DPRK: Joint Communique, the 44th U.S.-ROK Security Consultative Meeting,  U.S. Department of Defense (24 October 2012) [PDF 41.3 KB]

North Korea remains mostly impervious to external stimuli. South Korea and the US senior-most defense officials met in Washington. North Korea was a key discussion topic, and the first one after the opening bromides.  South Korea will not join the U.S. missile shield.  South Korea stopped analog broadcasts which “bled” into North Korea, meaning only a finitely small number of North Koreans can covertly receive South Korean soft power.

BLOG: Reformer Flame: Neutralized Moth. Why did Kim Han-sol do a TV interview?

by Roger Cavazos – DPRK Contributor While Kim Han-sol’s recent video created a splash, his comments do not alter North Korea’s trajectory in any…

ENERGY SECURITY: Environment ministers pour cold water on ‘hot air’ proposal, Arthur Nelsen, (29 October 2012)

With 49 months to tackle climate change, professional criers get busy at every chance. The Poles succeeded in limiting the supply of 1990 ‘hot air’ beyond 2012. So Jeremy Leggett promptly cries this “carbon bubble” is a “real risk for markets”, i.e., a risk created and sustained by people like himself. Then Hurricane Sandy gets a cry on cue from Al Gore; ditto Bill McKibben, saying this is yet another “wake-up call”. The bloggers at the New Yorker and Huffington Post make usual noises about a conspiracy of silence. Nobody is taking bets that next week’s US elections would change anything.

GOVERNANCE AND CIVIL SOCIETY: South Korea activists send leaflets to North, BBC (29 October 2012)

ROK activists sent 50,000 leaflets in balloons to the DPRK, despite DPRK retaliation threats, ROK police blockades and local residents’ attempts to prevent the launch amid concerns the DPRK would follow through on its threats. Three ROK military officers were removed after a DPRK soldier crossed the DMZ undetected. Some groups are calling for a move past traditional ideas of “conservative” and “progressive” when it comes to DPRK approaches and solutions.

CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: Living with floods: A grassroots analysis of the causes and impacts of typhoon Mirinae, Michael DiGregorio and Huynh Cao Van, Institute for Social and Environmental Transition-ISET (July 2012) [20.2 MB, PDF]

On November 2, 2009, typhoon Mirinae slammed into the coast of central Vietnam killing 122 people and causing $280 million in damage to property. The following questions were raised: Has climate change begun to produce storms that have exceeded the capacity of the people living in the flood prone deltas of central Vietnam to prepare for and respond to them? Or have other factors within the landscape changed to such a degree that established practices are no longer adequate?

AUSTRAL PEACE AND SECURITY: Principles of Pax Pacifica: building the East Asia security order, Kevin Rudd, keynote address to the Singapore Global Dialogue, Shangri-la Hotel, Singapore (21 September 2012)

In this age of globalisation, many find it extraordinary that we could even be having a conversation about the possibility of future conflict in Asia. We believe that the formidable security challenges we face can be more effectively managed by creatively applying the positive principles of common security – a Pax Pacifica in which we consciously build the habits, customs and norms of security and strategic cooperation from the ground up.

The Nautilus Peace and Security Weekly Report presents articles and full length reports each week in six categories: Austral security, nuclear deterrence, energy security, climate change and security, the DPRK, climate change adaptation and governance and civil society. Our team of contributors carefully select items that highlight the links between these themes and the three regions in which our offices are found—North America, Northeast Asia, and the Austral-Asia region. Each week, one of our authors also provides a short blog that explores these inter-relationships.

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