by Peter Hayes and Roger Cavazos NAPSNet Special Report 2 March 2015 I. SUMMARY In this report Peter Hayes and Roger Cavazos lay out a possible roadmap for North Korea’s nuclear operational force. The authors state: “The laws of physics that determine how nuclear weapons and delivery systems perform are the same in North Korea […]
DETERRENCE: Topol, Yars ballistic missile launchers on combat patrol in 6 Russian regions DPRK: North Korea could have 100 nuclear weapons by 2020: U.S. researchers GOVERNANCE AND CIVIL SOCIETY: China’s first lawsuit for environmental damage goes to court CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: Climate change adaptation assets and group-based approaches DETERRENCE: Topol, Yars ballistic missile launchers on combat patrol in 6 […]
Leon V. Sigal 23 February 2015 This report was a originally written as a paper for the Nautilus-CIIS Workshop on Comprehensive Security Settlement and DPRK Nuclear Issue, Beijing, January 23, 2014 I. Introduction In this Policy Forum, Leon V. Sigal writes that “The DPRK has long sought an easing of U.S. and ‘U.S.-led’ sanctions as […]
DETERRENCE: China’s future nuclear force infrastructure: a notional breakout scenario DPRK: The Democratic People’s Republic of Korea outlook for the food supply and demand in 2014/15 GOVERNANCE AND CIVIL SOCIETY: Electricity supply could be maintained without outdated Wolseong and Kori reactors CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: Services and role of Information Communication Technology (ICT) in India DETERRENCE: China’s future nuclear […]
In this report Peter Hayes writes about the risk of nuclear war and complexity. He states that “very few leaders or even strategic scholars pay attention to the new complexity of the operating environment in which national nuclear command-and-control systems operate, or the new characteristics of the command-and-control systems and their supporting CISR systems that may contribute to the problem of loss-of-control and rapid escalation to nuclear war.
“Today, the underlying ground is moving beneath the feet of nuclear-armed states. The enormous flow across borders of people, containers, and information, and the growth of connectivity between cities, corporations, and communities across borders, is recasting the essential nature of security itself to a networked flux of events and circumstances that no agency or state can control. The meta-system of nuclear command-and control systems has emerged in this new post-modern human condition.”
DETERRENCE: US-China Need a Missile Launch Notification Deal DPRK: Testing intentions: a debate about U.S. strategy toward North Korea GOVERNANCE AND CIVIL SOCIETY: China seizes 7,600 rolls of toilet paper featuring image of Hong Kong leader CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: Climate-related flood risks and urban responses in the Pearl River Delta, China CLIMATE CHANGE AND SECURITY: Confusion emerged over contract for 12 […]
Iran and a Comprehensive Settlement Thomas Pickering, Career Ambassador NAPSNet Policy Forum, February 10, 2015 Nautilus-CIIS Workshop on Comprehensive Security Settlement and DPRK Nuclear Issue, Beijing, January 23, 2014 I. Introduction Pickering explains the mistrust between the negotiating parties working towards a lasting Iran deal. He then illustrates the progress made to date and articulates […]
DETERRENCE: The security risks of China’s nuclear reprocessing facilities DPRK: North Korea says it sees no need to negotiate with ‘gangster’ U.S. GOVERNANCE AND CIVIL SOCIETY: Gov’t seeks to disband anti-state activist groups CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: Public health adaptation to climate change in Canadian jurisdictions CLIMATE CHANGE AND SECURITY: As Davos meeting closes, climate ‘warning shots’ from Africa and Pacific […]
Non-Hostile Intent Robert Carlin, Visiting Fellow, Center for International Security and Cooperation, Stanford University NAPSNet Policy Forum, February 3, 2015 Nautilus-CIIS Workshop on Comprehensive Security Settlement and DPRK Nuclear Issue, Beijing, January 23, 2014 I. Introduction Robert Carlin explores the effort to deal with “North [Korea’s] constant refrain that what stood in the way of a breakthrough in […]
DETERRENCE: Ending Nuclear Threat via a Northeast Asia Nuclear Weapons-Free Zone DPRK: Obama: North Korea is bound to collapse GOVERNANCE AND CIVIL SOCIETY: Strikes by taxi drivers spread across China CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: How are Climate Change Concerns Addressed by Spatial Plans? An Evaluation Framework and an Application to Indian Cities DETERRENCE: Ending Nuclear Threat via a Northeast Asia Nuclear […]
