PETER HAYES APRIL 24, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Peter Hayes describes how below the vast waters of Asia, new weapons of war and the methods of thwarting them are proliferating. Advances in submarines by the world’s great navies are being joined by an increasing number of states in the region that are […]
DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES APRIL 18, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors outline a program that could insulate about 10 percent of the household dwellings in Pyongyang and a solar-cell powered micro-grid that would demonstrate the way to rehabilitate the DPRK’s power grid, both achievable cheaply and within six months […]
MORTON HALPERIN, PETER HAYES, LEON SIGAL APRIL 12 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors tackle three tasks. First, they offer a way to address potential DPRK doubts about unilateral US negative security assurances by means of a legally binding and enduring multilateral treaty to establish either a regional Nuclear Weapons-Free Zone (NWFZ) on […]
MORTON HALPERIN, PETER HAYES, THOMAS PICKERING, LEON SIGAL APRIL 10 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors posit two alternatives for a successful summit. These are “a comprehensive settlement of the nuclear issue or a suspension of nuclear and missile testing and fissile material production under two different conditions — that the North […]
DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES APRIL 6 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, David von Hippel and Peter Hayes address the vulnerability of Japan’s spent fuel to non-state attack by evaluating three “paths” for the future of the Japanese nuclear energy sector and management of spent nuclear fuel. The minor differences between the paths in terms […]
PETER HAYES MARCH 29, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Peter Hayes concludes: “Given the choices being made by the nuclear armed states to re-embrace nuclear weapons, it is useful to speculate about the potential effects of quantum technology on nuclear forces, and in particular, possible consequences for NC3 systems. At least some of […]
PETER HAYES MARCH 2, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION This essay by Peter Hayes suggests that the August 1976 crisis presents important parallels to today’s situation in Korea that bear on the risk of war and the use of nuclear weapons in a renewed Korean conflict. Writes Hayes, “Since 1976, no American president has allowed such a […]
DAVID VON HIPPEL AND PETER HAYES FEBRUARY 22, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, David von Hippel and Peter Hayes conclude that: “A worst case” event involving one of the Ling’Ao spent fuel pools could yield exposures sufficient to cause hundreds of thousands of premature cancer deaths and almost certainly require the abandonment of one […]
PETER HAYES FEBRUARY 13, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Peter Hayes argues: “In short, sudden surprise events, the use of weapons, and subsequent escalation remain all too possible at the JSA. It is essential that the tension be reduced and underlying conditions that lead to defections be addressed while the Korean conflict is resolved […]
PETER HAYES FEBRUARY 8, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Peter Hayes describes US Force Korea’s “NONCOMBATANT EMERGENCY EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS” issued in 1967, 1983, and 2010. He concludes that: “These documents provide a realistic sense of the demanding, time consuming, and complicated task of evacuating noncombatants from Korea, and suggest it would be difficult […]
