VERIFICATION OF DPRK NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT: THE PROS AND CONS OF NON-NUCLEAR-WEAPON STATES (SPECIFICALLY, THE ROK) PARTICIPATING IN THIS VERIFICATION PROGRAM

JOHN CARLSON MAY 19 2019 I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, John Carlson argues how a non-nuclear weapons state like the ROK may be involved in verification of nuclear disarmament by the DPRK in a manner consistent with non-proliferation principles. John Carlson was director general of the Australian Safeguards and Nonproliferation Office. He was appointed […]

NC3 IN A MULTIPOLAR NUCLEAR WORLD: BIG STRUCTURES AND LARGE PROCESSES

PAUL BRACKEN MAY 14, 2019   I.   INTRODUCTION   In this essay, Paul Bracken analyzes the big structures and large processes of nuclear multipolarity.  The structures include the national command and control of at least eighteen countries, to include nine nuclear weapon states, “shared” weapons in NATO, missile defense, and key intelligence nodes in select […]

DATA AND MODELING REQUIREMENTS FOR ELECTRICITY GRID INTERCONNECTIONS

JAY GIRI MAY 9, 2019  I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Jay Giri “describes real-time grid management, control center EMS functions and inter-utility data exchange. It also describes the benefits and challenges of inter-utility grid management and examples of international utilities working together. It specifically addresses modeling requirements for international inter-utility operation. Finally, it describes an innovative […]

SYNTHESIS REPORT–NC3 SYSTEMS AND STRATEGIC STABILITY: A GLOBAL OVERVIEW

PETER HAYES, BINOY KAMPMARK, PHILIP REINER, DEBORAH GORDON MAY 5 2019   I.   INTRODUCTION This essay is the Synthesis Report of a workshop of fifty NC3 experts held at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University on January 22 to 23, 2019.  Nine states have nuclear weapons and fourteen states have nuclear command, control, and communications […]

RECENT ACTIVITIES IN THE DPRK MINERALS SECTOR

EDWARD YOON APRIL 3, 2019   I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, Edward Yoon describes DPRK’s mineral resources with a special focus on the coal mining and iron ore industries, and their exports to China, focusing on where minerals are found and how they might be developed with financial input by overseas investors, and addresses the […]

IDEATIONAL POWER IN A REALIST WORLD: PAN-PACIFIC BRIDGE BUILDING BY NON-STATE ACTORS

PETER HAYES MARCH 7 2019 I.  INTRODUCTION     In this essay, Peter Hayes “demonstrates reason for hope that civil society-based, non-state actors will continue to use ideational power to build pan-Pacific bridges leading to sustainability, security and peace in our time.  They are not the only bridge builders and cannot achieve their goals alone.  But […]

BEYOND THE SECOND TRUMP-KIM SUMMIT: TIME FOR REALISTIC NEXT STEPS

MORTON HALPERIN, PETER HAYES, CHUNG-IN MOON, THOMAS PICKERING, LEON SIGAL, PHILIP YUN FEBRUARY 1 2019 I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, the authors conclude: “Although a U.S.-DPRK alliance is certainly not likely  or even desirable, we have a chance to explore a US-DPRK security partnership if these overtures have substance; and if they do, we can […]

SOCIAL MEDIA STORMS AND NUCLEAR EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS: A DEEP DIVE AND SPEED SCENARIOS WORKSHOP REPORT

NAUTILUS INSTITUTE, TECHNOLOGY FOR GLOBAL SECURITY, PREVENTIVE DEFENSE PROJECT JANUARY 8, 2019 I. INTRODUCTION This workshop concluded that: “[I]ndividuals, organizations, and even states may start to use social media to try to provoke nuclear attacks against their adversaries; or for other political-ideological or religious reasons;  that they will be effective in terms of reaching some […]