NAPSNet Daily Report 05 November, 2002

 
CONTENTS

I. United States

1. PRC Domestic Politics
2. PRC Democratic Activist
3. DPRK on US Diplomacy
4. PRC-Japan Relations
5. DPRK-Japan Relations
6. Japan on US Missile Defense
7. Smallpox Possession
8. DPRK Food Program
9. Japanese Abduction Victims
II. Republic of Korea 1. DPRK-US Confrontation
2. Gaeseong Industrial Complex
3. Inter Korean Red Cross Talks Nullified
4. DPRK Nuclear Problem
5. Suspended Oil Supply to DPRK
III. Japan 1. Japan Domestic Politics
2. Japan-US Relations
3. Japanese Disarmament Diplomacy

NAPSNET Week in Review 1 November, 2002

United States 1. Powell on ‘Global Unity’ on DPRK Nuclear Issue The US State Department Information Services carried a transcript of US Secretary of State Colin Powell on the DPRK Nuclear Issue which read: Secretary of State Colin Powell says he believes there is global agreement on the need to exert pressure on the DPRK […]

Policy Forum 02-19A: Responding to North Korea’s Surprises

The essay below by John Feffer, author of numerous articles on Korea, and editor of the forthcoming “Power Trip: U.S. Foreign Policy after September 11,” asserts that North Korea is keen to win a deal with the United States that will allow it to pursue economic reform, but the Bush administration has largely ignored the DPRK’s attempts to engage the world. At the same time, North Korea fears that the Bush administration, after dislodging Saddam Hussein, will apply its regime-change policy to Pyongyang. The recent nuclear revelations are North Korea’s latest attempt to shock the United States into negotiating a package deal that would include security guarantees. Pyongyang’s policy of nuclear deterrence and Washington’s policy of preemptive strikes are inextricably linked, and a solution to the current crisis requires a rethinking of both policies.

Deterrence and the Contemporary Situation in the Middle East

October 30, 2002 By Patrick Morgan I. Introduction The first essay by Patrick Morgan – professor of Political Science at the University of California, Irvine – joins the debate on the relevance of state-based deterrence in the post 9/11 world. He distinguishes between different types of terrorists and suggests that some terrorists can be deterred. […]

Policy Forum 02-17A: North Korea Back to the Future

The essay below is by Glyn Ford, member of the European Parliament representing South West England. He has visited North Korea five times. Ford argues that any possible resolution of the North Korean nuclear issue falls squarely on the shoulders of South Korea and Japan. Potentially, the EU and China could help supply the political impetus to overcome US opposition, while South Korea and Japan could provide the bulk of the financial resources in exchange for the normalization of relations with North Korea.

Policy Forum 02-18A: North Korea’s Nuclear Program: An Assessment Of U.S. Options

The analysis below is by Steve LaMontagne, senior analyst at the Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation in Washington, DC. LaMontagne notes that the Bush administration faces the same set of policy options as did the Clinton administration in the early 1990s when North Korea threatened to pull out of the Non-Proliferation Treaty: War, Isolation, or Diplomacy. While war and isolation entail considerable risks, diplomatic negotiations may find little support on Capitol Hill and among administration hawks who bristle at the thought of being blackmailed by Kim Jong Il. The key test of the administration’s commitment to a diplomatic solution to the North Korea nuclear problem will be whether or not it abandons diplomacy at the first sign of stubborn, erratic, or objectionable behavior by North Korea. If this happens, diplomacy could eventually give way to the threat of military action.

Policy Forum 02-16A: Deja Vu All Over Again?

The essay below is by Ralph A. Cossa President of Pacific Forum CSIS. Cossa asserts that what President Bush needs to do during his summit meeting with ROK President Kim Dae-jung and Japanese Prime Minister Koizumi Junichiro is to clearly spell out his preconditions for a resumption of US-DPRK dialogue. Moreover, President Bush should also reiterate his administration’s pledge to engage in constructive dialogue, once Washington’s immediate security concerns are satisfactorily (and verifiably) addressed. Japanese Prime Minister Koizumi should make it clear in his own statement that, while dialogue will continue, there will be no real progress toward normalization until the nuclear issue is resolved. Finally, South Korean President Kim, instead of pressuring Washington to resume talks with Pyongyang, must also endorse Washington’s preconditions and announce that further progress in North-South relations, and especially hard currency payments that could easily be diverted to pay for a nuclear weapons program, will also hinge on Pyongyang removing this clear and present danger to the people of South Korea.

NAPSNet Daily Report 29 October, 2002

 
CONTENTS

I. United States

1. Japan on DPRK Nuclear Weapons
2. Japan-DPRK Talks
3. DPRK on DPRK Nuclear Weapons
4. DPRK Nuclear Speculation
5. PRC-US Relations
6. PRC Domestic Politics
7. Post-PRC-US Summit
8. DPRK Economic Survey Team
9. ROK on DPRK Economic Sanctions
10. DPRK-Canada Relations
II. Republic of Korea 1. APEC Countries Cooperation against Terrorism
2. DPRK-Japan Normalization Talk
3. ROK-Chile Summit Talk
III. People’s Republic of China 1. PRC-US Relations
2. PRC Commentary on PRC-US Relations
3. Japan-DPRK Relations
4. DPRK-ROK Relations
5. DPRK-US Relations
6. US, Japan and ROK’s Attitude towards DPRK Nuclear Issue