Policy Forum 03-10A: Security Dilemma, War Trap, and the South Protectorate over the North

Dr. Alexandre Y. Mansourov argues that as the security dilemma facing the United States and North Korea in the current nuclear standoff aggravates, they increasingly fall into the war trap. Although Pyongyang and Washington talk peace, neither side has the interest nor will to negotiate at the present time. Instead, they are both stuck in the escalation mode and actively prepare for war. Dr. Mansourov suggests that perhaps, in the long run, a South Korean protectorate over the North Korean state, encompassing the areas of national security and foreign policy, can bring about peaceful resolution of the escalating nuclear crisis and guarantee peace and stability on the nuclear-free Korean peninsula.

Policy Forum 03-11A: Charging The Nuclear Red Line

Peter Hayes, Executive Director of the Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainability, argues that unless the Bush administration initiates talks directly with North Korea immediately, the United States will end up with a nuclear-armed North Korea, no military option to exercise, and a ruptured alliance with South Korea who will go-it-alone.

NAPSNet Daily Report 10 February, 2003

 
CONTENTS

I. United States

1. US DPRK Missile Tests Warning
2. ROK PM on DPRK Nuclear Missiles
3. Powell on PRC’s Role in DPRK Nuclear Situation
4. ROK-DPRK Summit “Secret Fund”
5. US on DPRK Bomber Alert
6. ROK DPRK Humanitarian Aid Dilemma
7. Cross-Straits Currency
8. PRC Missile Development
9. PRC Dissident Life Sentence
10. Russian Bribes and Graft
11. Japan Domestic Economy
12. Inter-Korean Anti-Japan Independence Celebration
II. People’s Republic of China 1. DPRK Nuclear Crisis Development
2. DPRK-US Relations on DPRK Nuke Issue
3. PRC-US Relations
4. DPRK-ROK Relations
5. ROK-US Relations on DPRK Nuke Issue
6. PRC’s Security Policy
III. Japan 1. Japan’s Position to Iraq’s Issue
2. ROK’s View on IAEA’s Position Against DPRK Nuclear Issue

NAPSNET Week in Review 7 February, 2003

United States 1. UN DPRK Meeting The United Nations nuclear watchdog agency has decided to meet on February 12 to consider asking the UN Security Council to act against the DPRK, the head of the agency has said. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) wants the UN to consider what to do about the DPRK, […]

NAPSNet Daily Report 04 February, 2003

 
CONTENTS

I. United States

1. DPRK-US Relations
2. US Military on Reinforcements
3. ROK US Military Reinforcements
4. DPRK Rumsfeld US Bombers Alert
5. US Citizens on DPRK
6. Russia on US Missile Defense Plans
7. Russia on DPRK and UN Security Council
8. PRC on US-Iraq Situation
9. ROK “Secret Funds” Investigation
10. Japan Foreign Aid Reduction
11. Russia Oil Production
II. Japan 1. Abduction Issue in Japan-DPRK Relations
2. View of Iraqis to Iraq
3. Japan’s View to Iraq
4. Japan’s Position to Economic Sanction to DPRK
5. Lawsuit on Fast Breeder Reactor
6. Plutonium in Japan
7. Japan on UN Inspection against Iraq

NAPSNET Week in Review 31 January, 2003

United States 1. UN Nuclear Agency Emergency Meeting An emergency board meeting of the U.N. nuclear monitoring agency likely will take place on February 12 to pass the DPRK nuclear crisis to the Security Council, the agency head said Friday. Mohamed ElBaradei, head of the Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency, said he hoped the meeting […]

Policy Forum 03-08A: Getting Back to Go: Re-establishing a Freeze on North Korea’s Plutonium Fuel Cycle

This paper by Jon B. Wolfstahl, Director, Non-Proliferation project at the Carnegie Endowement for International Peace, analyzes how North Korea could “unfreeze” its nuclear facilities at Yongbyon, especially at the pond that stores plutonium in spent fuel rods. The paper explains the operations that may be underway according to news that American spy satellites over North Korea have detected trucks moving fuel rods at the Yongybon nuclear facilities. These rods could be spent fuel from the storage pond en route to the reprocessing plant (or new fuel headed for the research reactor, or both). Whichever, the DPRK may be crossing a “red line” for the Bush Administration. It also outlines what would need to be done to “refreeze” these facilities as part of the Bush Administration’s diplomatic search for a peaceful solution to the nuclear confrontation with the DPRK. The paper was presented at the US-DPRK Next Steps Workshop in Washington DC on January 27, 2003, an event co-sponsored by Nautilus Institute and the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.