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NAPSNet Daily Report 17 April, 2008

I. NAPSNET 1. DPRK Nuclear Program Reuters (Teruaki Ueno , “U.S. AND NORTH KOREA ENVOYS THINK KEY ROW CLEARED: SOURCES “, Tokyo, 2008/04/16) reported that negotiators from the United States and the DPRK believe they have settled a thorny dispute over Washington’s allegations that Pyongyang had a program to enrich uranium for weapons and proliferated […]

North Korean Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States

Steven A. Hildreth, Specialist in Missile Defense and Non-Proliferation in the Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division of the Congressional Research Service, writes, “Within possible range of the Taepo Dongs are
U.S. military facilities in Guam (3,500 km), Okinawa, and Japan… In this configuration, it is estimated that it could deliver a 700 – 1,000 kg warhead to a range of 2,500 km, which could put Japan and Okinawa within range. For the Taepo Dong 1 to achieve greater range its payload would have to be decreased. Some analysts speculate that a reduced payload configuration could deliver a 200 kg warhead into the U.S. center and a 100 kg warhead to Washington D.C., albeit with poor accuracy.”

Policy Forum 08-030: A Security and Peace Mechanism for Northeast Asia: The Economic Dimension

Stephan Haggard, Lawrence and Sallye Krause Professor of Korea-Pacific Studies and Director of the Korea-Pacific Program (KPP) at the University of California, San Diego School of International Relations and Pacific Studies, and Marcus Noland, Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, writes, “A primary, though not exclusive, objective of NEAPSM should be the integration of North Korea into the Asian and global economies. Such an opening is a prerequisite to the country’s economic renewal and resolution of its chronic humanitarian problems. Deepened economic interdependence would also embed North Korea in relations that could reduce the likelihood of disruptive behavior.”

NAPSNet Daily Report 11 April, 2008

Policy Forum 08-029: Lee Myung-bak and the Future of Sino-South Korean Relations

Scott Snyder, Senior Associate with The Asia Foundation and Pacific Forum CSIS, writes, “One key test of whether or not this is a new starting point will be whether China can meet its diplomatic objectives by influencing South Korean government policies not only in the context of the Sino-South Korean bilateral relationship, but also whether China can cast its shadow to the east sufficiently that South Korean administrations are required to take into account China’s preferences in formulating not only inter-Korean policy, but also South Korea’s management of relations with Japan and the United States.”