Tim Savage, Deputy Director of the Nautilus Institute’s Seoul office, writes, “In the short term, we are thus unlikely to see a rapid return to negotiations, or any kind of capitulation to pressure on the part of North Korea. Instead, we are likely in for a long period of containment and stalemate, while the surrounding nations wait to see the outcome of the ongoing succession saga in Pyongyang. The only problem with this approach is that North Korea — as it showed once again with its recent volley of missile tests — does not like to be ignored, and has several tools for getting attention.”
Archives
NAPSNet Daily Report 21 July, 2009
- 1. Alleged DPRK-Myanmar Cooperation
- 2. DPRK on UN Sanctions
- 3. US on US-DPRK Relations
- 4. US on DPRK Nuclear Talks
- 5. US on Detained Journalists
- 6. ROK on DPRK Nuclear Program
- 7. Inter-Korean Economic Relations
- 8. ROK Military
- 9. DPRK Economy
- 10. ROK Space Program
- 11. Japanese Politics
- 12. Japan Swine Flu Outbreak
- 13. Japan Defense
- 14. Sino-Indian Relations
- 15. Cross Strait Relations
- 16. PRC on US Espionage Allegations
- 17. Sino-Australian Relations
- 18. Sino-Russian Military Exercise
- 19. PRC Human Rights
- 20. PRC Environment
- 21. PRC Energy Use
- 22. PRC Energy Supply
NAPSNet Daily Report 17 July, 2009
- I.NAPSNet
- 1. UN Sanctions on the DPRK
- 2. DPRK on Nuclear Talks
- 3. PRC on Six Party Talks
- 4. US Policy Toward the DPRK
- 5. US-DPRK Relations
- 6. Russia on DPRK Nuclear Issue
- 7. Japan-DPRK Relations
- 8. DPRK Economy
- 9. DPRK Leadership
- 10. Pro-DPRK Japanese Residents
- 11. ROK-Japan Territorial Dispute
- 12. Japanese Defense
- 13. Japan Politics
- 14. Japan-Mongolia Energy Cooperation
- 15. PRC Naval Power
- 16. Sino-US Environmental Cooperation
- 17. Sino-Indian Relations
- 18. Cross Strait Relations
- 19. PRC-Australia Relations
- 20. US on PRC-Australia Relations
- 21. PRC Ethnic Unrest
- 22. PRC Economy
- 23. PRC Internet Use
Policy Forum 09-058: North Korea Entering a New Phase: ‘We Are Not Interested in the U.S. Anymore’
Amii Abe, Visiting Fellow at the Maureen and Mike Mansfield Foundation, writes, “In summation, though North Korea has strong suspicions against the U.S. and has lost the enthusiasm to negotiate with Washington, they still need to talk with the U.S. at the end of the day… First of all, we need to pay attention not only to Kim Jong-Il or the next successor, but also to the hard-liners who affect decision-making in North Korea… Secondly, imposing new sanctions is necessary, but is not enough… to change the situation, the U.S. needs more fundamental action than ever before; to deal with the DPRK’s focus on the legacy of the Korean War.”
NAPSNet Daily Report 16 July, 2009
- 1. DPRK Nuclear Program
- 2. DPRK Foreign Relations
- 3. Russo-DPRK Relations
- 4. Inter-Korean Relations
- 5. Inter-Korean Economic Cooperation
- 6. Japan Interdiction of DPRK Vessels
- 7. DPRK in ARF
- 8. DPRK Leadership
- 9. ROK Defense
- 10. ROK-US Trade Relations
- 11. ROK Civil Society
- 12. US-Japan Security Alliance
- 13. Japan Politics
- 14. Japan Cluster Munitions Ban
- 15. PRC-Australia Relations
- 16. PRC-US Climate Cooperation
- 17. US-PRC Relations
- 18. US on PRC Ethic Unrest
- 19. PRC Ethnic Unrest
- 20. PRC Arms Deal
- 21. PRC Climate Change
NAPSNet Daily Report 15 July, 2009
- I.NAPSNet
- 1. Sino-DPRK Relations
- 2. US-DPRK Relations
- 3. US on DPRK-Burmese Relations
- 4. US on DPRK Military
- 5. US on DPRK Policy
- 6. DPRK-Japan Relations
- 7. DPRK Leadership
- 8. DPRK Economy
- 9. ROK Cyberattacks
- 10. US on ROK Missile Program
- 11. ROK Space Program
- 12. ROK Peacekeeping Operations
- 13. ROK Politics
- 14. ROK Poverty
- 15. US-Japan Security Alliance
- 16. Japan Politics
- 17. Japan Nuclear Technology Exports
- 18. Sino-Japanese Relations
- 19. Sino-Japanese East Sea Gas Dispute
- 20. Cross Strait Relations
- 21. Sino-Indian Relations
- 22. Sino-Australian Relations
- 23. PRC Ethnic Unrest
- 24. PRC Energy Supply
- 25. PRC Environment
Policy Forum 09-057: Sending Another ‘Jimmy Carter’ to N. Korea
Selig S. Harrison, Director of the Asia Program at the Center for International Policy, writes, “Progress towards denuclearization would require U.S. steps to assure North Korea that it will not be the victim of a nuclear attack… Realistically, if the U.S. is unwilling to give up the option of using nuclear weapons against North Korea, it will be necessary to live with a nuclear-armed North Korea while maintaining adequate U.S. deterrent forces in the Pacific.”
NAPSNet Daily Report 14 July, 2009
- 1. PRC on DPRK Nuclear Talks
- 2. ROK, PRC on DPRK Nuclear Talks
- 3. PRC Sanctions on the DPRK
- 4. UN Sanctions on DPRK
- 5. Inter-Korean Relations
- 6. Sino-DPRK Relations
- 7. ROK Cyber Security
- 8. Japanese Politics
- 9. Japan SDF Indian Ocean Mission
- 10. US-PRC Climate Change Collaboration
- 11. Sino-Russian Military Cooperation
- 12. Sino-Indian Security Relations
- 13. Cross Strait Relations
- 14. PRC Maritime Security
- 15. PRC Ethnic Unrest
- 16. PRC Unrest
- 17. PRC Environment
- 18. US Nuclear Policy
NAPSNet Daily Report 13 July, 2009
- 1. US Policy toward DPRK
- 2. DPRK Detention of Journalists
- 3. DPRK Defectors
- 4. DPRK Leadership
- 5. DPRK Tourism
- 6. Inter-Korea Economic Cooperation
- 7. Inter-Korean Relations
- 8. ROK Cyber Security
- 9. ROK Military Exercises
- 10. US-ROK Nuclear Agreement
- 11. ROK Peacekeeping Operations
- 12. ROK Education
- 13. ROK Demographics
- 14. ROK Influenza Outbreak
- 15. US-Japan Nuclear Agreement
- 16. Japanese Nuclear Energy
- 17. Japanese Politics
- 18. Japanese Influenza Response
- 19. Japanese Defense
- 20. Unexploded Ordnance from World War II
- 21. Cross Strait Relations
- 22. PRC-Australia Relations
- 23. PRC Ethnic Unrest
- 24. PRC Space Program
NAPSNet Daily Report 10 July, 2009
- I.NAPSNet
- 1. G8 on DPRK Nuclear Test
- 2. US on DPRK Nuclear Program
- 3. US on DPRK Nuclear Talks
- 4. US-DPRK Relations
- 5. Detained US Journalists
- 6. Japan, PRC on DPRK Nuclear Talks
- 7. ROK, Russia on DPRK Missile Program
- 8. Inter-Korean Relations
- 9. DPRK Mass Games
- 10. ROK Cyber Security
- 11. ROK Politics
- 12. ROK Military
- 13. ROK Peacekeeping Operations
- 14. ROK-EU Relations
- 15. ROK Climate
- 16. US-Japan Security Alliance
- 17. Japan-Russia Relations
- 18. Japan Politics
- 19. Cross Strait Relations
- 20. Sino-Indian Relations
- 21. PRC African Investment
- 22. Sino-Australian Relations
- 23. PRC Climate Change
- 24. PRC Ethnic Strife