FROM ENEMIES TO SECURITY PARTNERS: PATHWAYS TO DENUCLEARIZATION IN KOREA

MORTON HALPERIN, PETER HAYES, THOMAS PICKERING, LEON SIGAL, PHILIP YUN JULY 6 2018 I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, the authors examine the pros and cons of shifting from enmity to a security partnership with the DPRK in which US Forces Korea might play “a pivot-deterrent role between the two Koreas as well as a stabilizing […]

MANAGING THE JOINT SECURITY AREA AND THE RISK OF WAR IN KOREA

PETER HAYES FEBRUARY 13, 2018 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Peter Hayes argues: “In short, sudden surprise events, the use of weapons, and subsequent escalation remain all too possible at the JSA.  It is essential that the tension be reduced and underlying conditions that lead to defections be addressed while the Korean conflict is resolved […]

THE NORTH KOREAN NUCLEAR PROBLEM

KEVIN RUDD DECEMBER 21, 2017 I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, Kevin Rudd argues: “Diplomacy will be essential to avoid sleepwalking into war in Northeast Asia, and to achieve the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. The key objective is to preserve peace and prosperity in the region. Armed conflict on the Korean Peninsula is an increasing possibility – […]

THE DUTY TO DISOBEY ILLEGAL NUCLEAR STRIKE ORDERS

ANTHONY J. COLANGELO OCTOBER 9, 2017 I.  INTRODUCTION In this essay, Anthony Colangelo argues that: “There is a legal duty to disobey illegal nuclear strike orders. Failure to carry out this duty may result in criminal and civil liability under national and international law… [T]hose ordered to plan or launch a nuclear strike are on […]

IMPACT OF UNSC RESOLUTION 2375 ON DPRK OIL IMPORTS

David von Hippel and Peter Hayes September 12, 2017 I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, David von Hippel and Peter Hayes review estimates of the fraction of North Korean refined product imports and total oil imports that will be affected by UNSC Resolution 2375.  They find that (assuming the sanctions contained in the Resolution function as […]

EXCELLENT KOREA OPTIONS FOR THE LONG TERM

James Goodby     August 1, 2017 I.  INTRODUCTION   In this essay, James Goodby argues that there are excellent options for dealing with North Korea’s nuclear weapons program “but these can become visible only if one approaches the problem posed by North Korea with the long view in mind.”  These include the steps needed to end […]

A STRATEGY FOR DEALING WITH NORTH KOREA

Leon V. Sigal July 28, 2017   I. INTRODUCTION In this essay, Leon V. Sigal argues that North Korea’s unbounded weapons program “poses a clear and present danger to U.S. and allied security. That makes it a matter of great urgency to negotiate a suspension of its nuclear and missile testing and fissile material production […]