Policy Forum

Nautilus Institute’s Policy Forum‘s focus is on the timely publication of expert analysis and op-ed style pieces on the foremost of security-related issues to Northeast Asia. Its mission is to facilitate a multilateral flow of information among an international network of policy-makers, analysts, scholars, media, and readers. Policy Forum essays are typically from a wide range of expertise, political orientations, as well as geographic regions and seeks to present readers with opinions and analysis by experts on the issues as well as alternative voices not typically presented or heard. Feedback, comments, responses from Policy Forum readers are highly encouraged.

NAPSNet, Policy Forum

South Korea’s Package Deal

PFO 99-05B: March 19, 1999 South Korea’s Package Deal By Ralph Cossa, Pacific Forum, CSIS Copyright (c) 1999 Nautilus of America/The Nautilus Institute CONTENTS I. Introduction II. Article by Ralph Cossa I. Introduction This is the second in a series of articles on the current state of US, ROK, and Japanese policy toward the DPRK. […]

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South Korea’s Package Deal

South Korea’s Package Deal Ralph Cossa, Pacific Forum, CSIS NAPSNet Policy Forum, March 19, 1999 I. Introduction This is the second in a series of articles on the current state of US, ROK, and Japanese policy toward the DPRK. This article was originally distributed by Pacific Forum, CSIS as PacNet #10 on March 12, 1999. […]

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Policy Forum 99-05B: South Korea’s Package Deal

Dr. Cossa praises ROK President Kim’s proposed “package deal” with the DPRK as a “valiant attempt” to save both his own “sunshine policy” toward the DPRK and the 1994 Agreed Framework. In contrast, he criticizes both the US and Japan for lacking a comprehensive policy toward the DPRK. He argues that what is needed to bring Kim’s package to fruition is an implementing agency on the lines of KEDO, but headed by the ROK instead of the US.

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Policy Forum 99-03: North Korea’s Coming ICBM

The author argues that the Clinton administration’s efforts at engagement with the DPRK have failed to curb the DPRK’s missile development. He maintains that the DPRK will likely have Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles (ICBM) capable of reaching parts of the US before the US will be able to build a National Missile Defense to protect against them. He argues that the DPRK will likely use these missiles as a “diplomatic trump card” to make up for the deterioration of its conventional armed forces and to push the US to withdraw its troops from the ROK. He calls on the US to restructure its deterrence policy to make clear to the DPRK that it would face massive retaliation if it attempted to attack the US.

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Policy Forum 99-02: Prospects for Marine Governance in the Northwest Pacific: Poor?

Looks at the prospects for effective regional action to protect the Northwest Pacific marine environment and concludes that at present the outlook is not promising.

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Toward an Ocean Management Regime in the Sea of Japan

Toward an Ocean Management Regime in the Sea of Japan NE Asian Marine Issues – #2 By Mark J. Valencia, East-West Center   Copyright (c) 1999 Nautilus of America/The Nautilus Institute CONTENTS I. Introduction II. Valencia Essay 1. Political and Natural Setting 2. Existing Regimes 3. Problems and Inadequacies of Existing Regimes 4. Steps Toward […]

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Policy Forum 98-13D: Agreed Framework in Danger of Collapse

This essay was written by Peter T.R. Brookes, Senior Advisor for East Asian Affairs with the Republican Staff of the Committee on International Relations in the US House of Representatives. Brookes argues that the 1994 Agreed Framework has failed to accomplish its goals of halting the DPRK’s nuclear program. He attributes this failure both to flaws in the agreement itself and the DPRK’s unwillingness to live up to its side of the bargain. He warns that, unless US concerns about the DPRK’s missile program are addressed quickly, the Agreed Framework is in danger of collapse.

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NAPSNet Forum #23 –Future of Agreed Framework

NAPSNet Forum #23 –Future of Agreed Framework NAPSNet Forum #23 –Future of Agreed Framework Northeast Asia Peace and Security Network FUTURE OF AGREED FRAMEWORK #23D — November 30, 1998 The is intended to provide expert analysis of contemporary peace and security issues in Northeast Asia, and an opportunity to participate in discussion of the analysis. […]

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Policy Forum 98-13B: Dealing with North Korea’s Nuclear Weapons Program

Mr. Wit, Senior Associate at the Henry L. Stimson Center, is currently on leave from the US State Department, where he was in charge of implementing the US-DPRK Agreed Framework since 1995. Wit calls for a more aggressive diplomacy to deal with the DPRK’s nuclear weapons program. He argues that the goal of stopping the DPRK from developing nuclear weapons cannot be accomplished without an overall improvement in US-DPRK relations. Therefore what is needed is an overall diplomatic strategy, which even if it fails, would establish the basis for regional action to deal with the DPRK nuclear problem.

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Policy Forum 98-13A: Future of the Agreed Framework: The Coming North Korean Crisis

Mr. Kanter, a Senior Fellow at the Forum for International Policy, served as US Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs from 1991 to 1993 and Special Assistant to the President for Defense Policy and Arms Control on the National Security Council staff from 1989 to 1991. Kanter discusses the failure of the 1994 Agreed Framework to accomplish its goals, and calls for a thorough reevaluation of US policy toward the DPRK. He argues that the US must forge a new approach to reduce the risk that the DPRK poses to peace, not only on the Korean peninsula, but to the region as a whole. This essay originally appeared as the Forum for International Policy Issue Brief #98-15 on November 6, 1998.

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