Energy, Security and Environment Publications

 The Nautilus Institute’s Energy, Security & Environment Program analyzes the nexus of energy, security, and environmental issues in NORTHEAST ASIA. Based on this analysis policy initiatives are developed. The twin fields of “environmental security” and “energy security,” as applied in Northeast Asia, underlie much of the program’s work. The program was started in 1996.

Energy, Security & Environment Browse

 Friday, March 14, 2002


East Asia Energy Future | East Asia Power Grid Interconnection | Final Reports | Acid Rain in NE Asia | NE Asian Energy Futures | Energy Security  | Financing Clean Coal Technology | NE Asian Marine Issues |


East Asia Energy Future

Report
Summary Report of the East Asia Energy Futures Project Activities and Accomplishments

VON HIPPEL, David, The Nautilus Institute

PDF version
A Framework for Energy Security Analysis and Application to a Case Study of Japan

VON HIPPEL, David, The Nautilus Institute

PDF version

Commissioned Papers
Discussion of Macro Assumptions in the Future Evolution of the Chinese Energy System and the Impact of Energy Security Considerations on Planning

ZHOU Fengqi, Energy Research Institute State Development Planning Commission, China

PDF version

Discussion of “Macro” Assumptions in the Future Evolution of the Chinese Energy System, and the Impact of Energy Security Considerations on Planning .
Prospects for and impacts of diversifying fuel use away from coal

ZHANG Aling, SHI Lin, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China

PDF version

Prospects for and Impacts of Diversifying Chinese Fuel Use away from Coal.
The Impacts of China’s Accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) on China’s Energy Sector

SHI, Zulin and XU, Yugao , Tsinghua University, Beijing, China

PDF version

The Impacts of China’s Accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) on China’s Energy Sector
The Role of Renewable Energy Options in China’s Present and Future Energy System

GU, Shuhua and LIU, Wenqiang
Institute for Techno-Economics and Energy System Analysis (ITEESA), Beijing, China

PDF version

The Role of Renewable Energy Options in China’s Present and Future Energy Systems
Coal Industry in China: Evolvement and Prospects

WANG, Qingyi , Tsinghua University, Beijing, China

PDF version

The Coal Industry in China: Recent Evolution and Prospects for the Coming Decades

Regional Papers
National Energy Futures Analysis and Energy Security Perspectives in China

NI, Weidou, LI, Zheng, and XUE, Yuan , Tsinghua University, Beijing, China

PDF version

National Energy Futures Analysis and Energy Security Perspectives in China: Strategic thinking on the energy issue in 10th Five-Year Plan of China.
National Energy Futures Analysis and Energy Security Perspectives in the Republic of Korea

CHUNG, Woo Jin , Korea Energy Economics Institute Republic of Korea

PDF version

National Energy Futures Analysis and Energy Security Perspectives in the Republic of Korea.
Energy Futures and Acid Rain Problems in Northeast Asia – Perspective of the Republic of Korea

SHIN, Eui-Soon , Professor Department of Economics, Yonsei University Seoul, Korea

PDF version

National Energy Futures Analysis and Energy Security Perspectives in the Republic of Korea.
Energy Security and the Role of Nuclear Power in Japan

SUZUKI, Tatsujiro, Senior Research Scientist, Central Research Institute of the Electric Power Industry, Japan

PDF version

National Energy Futures Analysis and Energy Security Perspectives in Japan.
National Energy Futures Analysis and Energy Security Perspectives in the Russian Far East

KALASHNIKOV, Victor , Khabarovsk Economic Research Institute Far Eastern Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences

PDF version

National Energy Futures Analysis and Energy Security Perspectives in Russian Far East.

Review Papers
Modeling of Clean-Coal Scenarios for China: Progress Report and Initial Results

VON HIPPEL, David

PDF version

Modeling of Clean Coal Scenarios for China: Progress Report and Initial Results.
Review of Assumptions as to Changes in the Electricity Generation Sector in Nautilus Institute’s Clean Coal Scenarios Report

Xie Shaoxiong

PDF version

Review of Assumptions as to Changes in the Electricity Generation Sector in Nautilus Institute’s Clean Coal Scenarios Report.


East Asia Power Grid Interconnection

Economic Considerations for International Electricity Interconnection in North-East Asia

Karsten Neuhoff, University of Cambridge

PDF version

Economic Considerations: An overview & background on power markets and pricing principles, with focus on international trading, institutional considerations for international electricity trade.
Environmental Aspects of Electricity Grid Interconnection in Northeast Asia

David G. Streets
Decision and Information Sciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory

PDF version

Environmental Aspects of Electricity Grid Interconnection in Northeast Asia.
Perspectives on the North-east Asia System Interconnection – From South Korea –

Park, Dongwook, Korea Electrotechnology Research Institute (KERI)

PDF version

National perspectives from the Northeast Asian region: Republic of Korea.
Grid Stability and Safety Issues Associated with Nuclear Power Plants

Dr. John H. Bickel, Evergreen Safety and Reliability Technologies, LLC

PDF version

Grid Stability and Safety Issues Associated with Nuclear Power Plants.
Analysis of the Optimal Configuration of Energy Transportation Infrastructure in Asia with a Linear Programming Energy System Model

Yasumasa Fujii, Department of Electrical Engineering, The University of Tokyo

PDF version

National perspectives from the NEA region: Japan.
Views on the Northeast Asia Power Grid Interconnection

Ri Gyong Nam, A researcher, Pyongyang Electric Power Design Institute

PDF version

National perspectives from the NEA region: Democratic People’s Republic of Korea.
Local Perspective on Power Grid Interconnection in Northeast Asia: Background and Perspectives from Liaoning Province, China

Ge Weichun, Liaoning Electric Power Co., Ltd., China

PDF version

Local Perspectives on Power Grid Interconnection in Northeast Asia: Background and Perspectives from Liaoning Province, China.
Power system and technical issues in South Korea

Prof. Jong-Keun Park
School of Electrical Eng., Seoul National University, Seoul, 151-742, Korea

PDF version

Power Generation & Stability Issues in the Republic of Korea: Constraints & choices for interconnection of power grids.
Estimated Costs and Benefits of Power Grid Interconnections in Northeast Asia

David F. Von Hippel, Nautilus Institute

PDF version

Costs & Benefits of Power Grid Connection.
Application of Kyoto Mechanisms to the Northeast Asian Electricity Grid

Hyo-Sun Kim, Korea Gas Corporation

PDF version

Application of the Kyoto Mechanisms in Power Grid Interconnection in Northeast Asia.


Final Reports

Regional Collaboration for Energy Futures and Energy Security in China and Northeast Asia

CARMICHAEL, Gregory, University of Iowa and ARNDT, Richard

Final Report

Final report of the Energy, Security, Environment in Northeast Asia (ESENA) Project.


Acid Rain in Northeast Asia

Baseline Assessment of Acid Rain in Northeast Asia

CARMICHAEL, Gregory, University of Iowa and
ARNDT, Richard

PDF version

Examines emissions projections in Northeast Asia, develops sulfur deposition estimates in the region, and suggests potential joint US-Japanese policy initiatives to curb acidifying emissions in the region.
Energy and Acid Rain Projections for Northeast Asia

STREETS, David, Argonne National Laboratory

HTML version

Discusses energy and socioeconomic projections for Northeast Asia and their implications for emissions and suggests potential joint US-Japanese policy initiatives to curb acidifying emissions in the region.
Technological Alternatives to Reduce Emissions from Energy Production in Northeast Asia

VON HIPPEL, David, Nautilus Institute

PDF version

Examines current technological alternatives for reducing emissions from energy production, analyzes costs and externalities associated with these technological alternatives, and suggests possible joint US-Japanese policy initiatives for implementing the technological alternatives.


NE Asian Energy Futures

Innovative Approaches to Financing Environmentally Sustainable Energy Development in Northeast Asia (in draft)

RAZAVI, Dr. Hossein, The World Bank

PDF version

Examines the current state of energy and electric power financing in Northeast Asia, scenario-specific capital constraints, innovative approaches, likely sources of finance for the Sustainable Energy Development strategy, and concerted unilateral or joint US/Japan initiatives which could address the regional financing needs of East Asian energy development, especially with China.
Global Dimensions of Energy Growth Projections in Northeast Asia
PDF version | annexes

Discusses which global issues interrelate with regional acid rain issues, how expanded energy production in the region will effect this, and joint US-Japanese policy initiatives and possible regional responses.
DPRK Energy Sector: Current Status and Scenarios for 2000 and 2005

VON HIPPEL, David, and Peter HAYES, Nautilus Institute

PDF version

Provides a brief overview of the recent and current status of the DPRK energy sector, as well as some of the factors that will influence the development (or continued decline) of the sector over the next eight years and beyond.
The Prospects For Energy Efficiency Improvements in the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea: Evaluating and Exploring the Options

VON HIPPEL, David, and Peter HAYES, Nautilus Institute

HTML version

Examines problems faced by DPRK in its energy sector, describes indicative estimates of the potential for implementation of energy efficiency and renewable energy in the DPRK, and discusses means whereby the DPRK’s energy problems can be addressed through international cooperation.
Two Scenarios of Nuclear Power and Nuclear Waste Production in Northeast Asia

VON HIPPEL, David, and Peter HAYES, Nautilus Institute

PDF version

Describes the compilation of two country-by-county scenarios of electricity supply in Northeast Asia and concludes that, independent of the systems for waste isolation (or recycling) chosen, the quantities of nuclear materials implied in either of the two scenarios will require regional cooperation on nuclear fuel and nuclear waste technologies, handling protocols, and planning.


Energy Security

International Regulations of Nuclear Fuel Cycles:
Issues for East Asia

BERKHOUT, Frans, University of Sussex

PDF version

Provides an overview of initiatives to develop international regulatory regimes for spent fuel and plutonium which go beyond the application of nuclear safeguards.
Electric Power Industry of the Russian Far East: Status and Prerequesites for Cooperation in Northeast Asia

KALASHNIKOV, Victor D, Khabarovsk Economic Research Institute

PDF version | View Map 1 | View Map 2

Demonstrates that energy and electricity in the Russian Far East (RFE) have great potential for the development of energy-related cooperation within the Northeast Asia region. Provides extensive and diverse information on the RFE (energy) situation–its geography, economy, technology, legislation, and the nature of its energy resources.
Nuclear Power and Energy Security: A Revised Strategy for Japan

LIDSKY, Lawrence M. and Marvin M. Miller, MIT

PDF version

Offers a revised strategy for the role of nuclear power in Japan’s energy security by moving away from light water reactor (LWR) and fast breeder reactor (FBR) technology and embracing alternative nuclear technologies.
Improving Energy Security in Pacific Asia: Diversification and Risk Reduction for Fossil and Nuclear Fuels

NEFF, Thomas L., MIT

PDF version

Provides a methodological basis applicable to Pacific Asia for evaluating energy supply dependence across fuels and for particular fuels–with a primary emphasis on nuclear fuels.
Economic, Security and Environmental Aspects of Energy Supply: A Conceptual Framework for Strategic Analysis of Fossil Fuels

RAZAVI, Hossein, World Bank

PDF version

Presents a methodology for analyzing long-term national energy strategy in relation to the issues of energy security and environmental impacts of energy supply and consumption.
Plutonium Decision-Making in the U.S. Government

SPEIER, Richard, Independent Consultant

PDF version

Reviews the development of U.S. plutonium policy from the early 1960’s to the present, highlighting the shifting positions on the linkage between plutonium as a nuclear fuel and as a weapons material.
Energy-Efficient Technologies and Renewables in Relation to Japan’s Energy Security

TSUCHIYA, Haruki, Research Institute for Systems Technology

PDF version

Discusses three types of energy security problems in relation to energy-efficient technologies and renewable energy sources in Japan: increase in oil prices, oil depletion, and global warming. Energy-efficient technologies and renewable energy sources are shown to enhance Japan’s energy security.
Modernizing the Agreed Framework

VON HIPPEL, David; HAYES, Peter; SAVAGE, Timothy; and NAKATA, Masami, Nautilus Institute

PDF version

Argues that while the DPRK will be unable to safely operate the light-water reactors being supplied under the Framework, replacing one of the reactors with a thermal power plant, as some have suggested, is an equally impractical solution. Instead, the United States could consider offering a package of infrastructure assistance to the DPRK in exchange for changes in heavy fuel oil (HFO) deliveries. The US could explore with the DPRK alternative services-grid refurbishment, power plant and boiler rehabilitation, fuel supply infrastructure rebuilding, and alternative electricity sources and energy-efficiency improvements-that could be provided with a portion of the funds now earmarked for HFO purchases.


Financing Clean Coal Technology

Proposal for a Global Environment Facility (GEF) Technology Risk Guarantee Mechanism

NAUTILUS INSTITUTE

PDF version

Provides a summary outline of a proposal for an innovative, non-grant financing instrument based at the Global Environment Facility (GEF). The proposal is designed to encourage the adoption of environmentally-friendly but not yet commercially viable technologies.
Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle (IGCC) in China

NAUTILUS INSTITUTE

PDF version

Discusses advanced clean coal technologies in China, with a focus on IGCC. The Chinese government’s proposal for building an IGCC demonstration power plant is explained.
Financing Clean Coal in China

NAUTILUS INSTITUTE

PDF version

Presents a comprehensive argument for the need for innovative financing of clean coal technologies in China, proposes a Global Environment Facility (GEF)-based technology risk guarantee mechanism, and details how the mechanism can be used to finance IGCC technology in China.


NE Asian Marine Issues

Prospects for Effective Marine Governance in the Northwest Pacific Region

HAAS, Peter M., University of Massachusetts-Amherst

PDF version

Looks at the prospects for effective regional action to protect the Northwest Pacific marine environment and concludes that at present the outlook is not promising.
Toward Integrated Coastal Zone Management in Japan

ISOBE, Masahiko, University of Tokyo

PDF version

Introduces a basic theoretical framework for an integrated coastal zone management (ICZM) scheme in Japan, discusses examples of practical experiments in ICZM in Japan, and concludes that an ICZM scheme is absolutely essential to solve Japan’s development-related coastal zone problems.
Marine Environmental Cooperation in Northeast Asia

KIM, Hyon-Jin, Harvard University

PDF version

Examines the creation of NOWPAP, the central regime for marine environmental cooperation in Northeast Asia, and the political problems associated with its smooth functioning.
Environmental Problems and Environmental Management of Japanese Coastal Waters: An Ecosystem Perspective

NAKATA, Hideaki, University of Tokyo

PDF version

Describes some of the present environmental problems in Japanese coastal waters, especially in relation to the fishing industry, and discusses mitigation and management of these problems from an ecosystem perspective.
A Vessel Traffic System Analysis for the Korea/Tsushima Strait

PAHUL, Linda, Ocean Law & Policy Institute

PDF version

Examines shipping interests, particularly those related to marine transport of oil, in relation to other contending interests, namely fishing, exploration, security and freedom of navigation, in the Korea/Tsushima Strait. One method for reconciling some of the conflicts between shipping and other interests is with a maritime traffic control (MTC) scheme. There is currently no active MTC scheme in the Strait. MTC schemes include active Vessel Traffic Service (VTS) systems and passive Traffic Separation Systems (TSS). A VTS system does not seem appropriate for the Korea/Tsushima Strait at this time because of its cost and complexity. However, a TSS would be appropriate.
Marine Environmental Cooperation in Northeast Asia

SHISHIME, Tomohiro, Environment Agency of Japan

PDF version

Discusses why current monitoring efforts domestically in Japan and internationally in the region are deficient. Also describes present efforts by the Environment Agency toward establishing a marine monitoring network in the region, and explains the issues that need to be addressed in order for a regional monitoring network to be established.
Ocean Management Regimes in the Sea of Japan:
Present and Future

VALENCIA, Mark, East-West Center

PDF version

Argues that an excellent opportunity exists to build a comprehensive environmental management regime for the Sea of Japan and sets forth an outline for a “model” management regime.
Nautilus Framework Paper: U.S.-Japan Policy Initiatives on Energy-Related Marine Issues in the Sea of Japan

WILKENING, Ken & Jason HUNTER, Nautilus Institute

PDF version

Provides the framework for discussions at the July 1998 ESENA workshop in Tokyo on appropriate and feasible U.S.-Japan policy initiatives which address oil-related marine issues in the Sea of Japan/East Sea.
GLOCOM FRAMEWORK PAPER: Towards International Cooperation on the Northeast Asian Ocean Environment

YAMANOUCHI, Yasuhide, GLOCOM

PDF version

Examines elements which motivate the Japanese government to pursue international cooperation on marine issues in the Sea of Japan and in other regional seas of Northeast Asia.