NAPSNet 08 March 2012

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"NAPSNet 08 March 2012", NAPSNet Weekly Report, March 08, 2012, https://nautilus.org/napsnet/napsnet-weekly/napsnet-08-march-2012/

DETERRENCE: The Japan-US alliance facing the age of nuclear disarmament, From “Extended Deterrence” to “Regional Deterrence”, Taku Ishikawa, in The New Nuclear Agenda: Prospects for US-Japan Cooperation, Stimson Center, pp. 23-40 (February 2012) [PDF, 0.7 MB]

To sustain nuclear nonproliferation, Japan and the US must appear to support nuclear disarmament while creating a more conventional “regional security architecture” without provoking excessive counterbalancing.

DPRK: N. Korea warns it won’t overlook upcoming nuclear summit in S. Korea, Korea Times (22 February 2011)

The DPRK called the Seoul Nuclear Security Summit an “anti-DPRK nuclear campaign” that would impede negotiations over the North Korean nuclear issue. KCNA said that the US nuclear umbrella over the ROK made the summit a “farce.” The DPRK declined a 2010 ROK government offer to attend the summit. The DPRK pilot light water reactor program, built without knowledge of international safety standards, has been called a “disaster in the making.”

CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: Climate change and international water conflict in central Asia, Thomas Bernauer and Tobias Siegfried, Journal of Peace Research, vol. 49, no. 1, pp. 227-239 (2012) [subscription required]

Existing research shows that one of the most important social and political risks associated with climate change pertains to water availability. It also shows, in this context, that the greatest risk of international disputes and perhaps even militarized interstate conflict is likely to materialize in international water systems located in poor and politically unstable parts of the world.

ENERGY SECURITY: Interview: Amory Lovins lays out his clean energy plan, Yale Environment360 (20 February 2012)

Renewable energy/energy efficiency proponent Amory Lovins, considering the world’s energy prospects, highlights trends such as the vast private sector investment in renewables/energy efficiency in China, diversification of oil companies into “green energy,” and growth in solar PV deployment as evidence that the era of fossil fuels is ending.  Lovins sees a transition to a renewable economy by 2050 even without the deployment of new technologies.

GOVERNANCE AND CIVIL SOCIETY: Rival party leaders offer to engage with NK’s new leadership, Korea Times (28 February 2012)

The top leaders of the ruling and main opposition parties in the ROK both called for more engagement and renewed inter-cooperation with the DPRK as the 2012 nuclear summit approaches. Some Chinese scholars are also calling for the ROK to ease its hard-line policy toward the DPRK, arguing that a policy shift will maintain peace and stability on the peninsula.

Note: We regret that the Austral Security section is not included in this week’s NAPSNet report and apologize for any inconvenience this may cause.

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