A Red Hunt In October – For Pirates, Hooligans and Spies…

photo © Denis Sinyakov / Greenpeace A Russian Coast guard officer is seen pointing a knife at a Greenpeace International activist as five activists attempt to climb the 'Prirazlomnaya,' an oil platform operated by Russian state-owned energy giant Gazprom platform in Russia’s Pechora Sea

In this essay, Nikhil Desai criticizes the violent Russian attack on the Greenpeace ship and the subsequent pre-trial detention of 30 activists. He argues that if concerns of energy security are allowed to degenerate into hallucinations of dominating the Arctic and brutal treatment of non-violent civic action, Russia or other such countries cannot be held to be responsible members of the international community of law-abiding states. The most powerful man in the world may now also be the most dreadful.

Nikhil Desai is an energy and environmental economist now dividing his time between Washington, DC and Ahmedabad, India.

Adapting to the Present Day – A Good Substitute for Future Climate Change?

Picture: Sony Source: The Daily Telegraph

Saleem Janjua argues that despite the substantial indecisiveness over climatic projections and their impacts, we should start adapting to the present day on the basis of recent changes in the climate. By adapting to present conditions and understanding them we may be able to offset future climate change impacts. Various bottom-up approaches (vulnerability assessment, risk assessment, resilience) could be very helpful in understanding the vulnerability of a country to current climate change and the rationales of adaptation in the local context.

Saleem Janjua is the editor of AdaptNet and a Nautilus Institute Associate.

Atomic Insurance for Atomic Insecurities

Image Source: The Power of Promise: Examining the Feasibility of A Rapid Expansion of Nuclear Energy in India at: http://southasiainstitute.harvard.edu/event/

In this essay, Nikhil Desai explains the fears of anti-nuclear activists in India regarding its government’s alleged violation or weakening of the Indian law on civil nuclear liability as part of the Prime Minister’s visit to Washington, DC the weekend of 27th September 2013. He argues that the government’s opponents refuse to accept the reality of nuclear trade and operations, and should be more concerned about the institutional competence of India to manage the nuclear enterprises, civil or otherwise.

Nikhil Desai is an energy and environmental economist now dividing his time between Washington, DC and Ahmedabad, India. He is a Nautilus Institute Associate and a contributor to Nautilus’ Weekly Report.

Nautilus Peace and Security Weekly – 3 October 2013

DETERRENCE: Park Pledges Strong Defense To Render N. Korean Nukes Useless DPRK: Intergovernmental Consultative Committee Meeting Between Mongolia And North Korea ENERGY SECURITY: UN Climate Panel Stresses Solidity of New Report on Global Warming GOVERNANCE AND CIVIL SOCIETY: Popular Ex-PM Koizumi Comes Out Against Nuclear Power CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: Climate Change Adaptation in the Boardroom AUSTRAL PEACE AND SECURITY: ALP Nuclear […]

Networks for Climate Adaptation in South Asia

flooded streets Photo Source: Associated Press

Saleem Janjua stresses the need for creation of some innovative climate adaptation networks amongst South Asian countries working on climate adaptation. Practitioners, researchers, and policy-makers from across the South Asian region will be able to collaboratively use such networks to share evidence-based understandings from which they can design solutions to the many problems that will face people and places in coping with climate change.

Saleem Janjua is a Nautilus Institute Associate, the editor of the Climate Change Adaptation bi-weekly report (ADAPTNet) and a contributor to Nautilus’ Weekly Report.

China Goes Public on North Korea, Foreign Policy, Daniel W. Drezner

Chinese leader, Xi Jinping, right, greets North Korean envoy, Vice Marshal Choe, in Beijing on Friday. Rao Aimin/Xinhua, via Associated Press

In this case, even the publication of the sanctions list itself is something of an intelligence find for the United States — as Perlez notes:

“The list gives a good insight into what China knows about the missile and bomb development of North Korea,” said [Roger] Cavazos, the former Army intelligence officer who now works as an analyst at the Nautilus Institute, which studies international security issues. “From what I can tell, it lays out almost all China knows about North Korea’s missile and nuclear program.”

Nautilus Peace and Security Weekly – 26 September 2013

DETERRENCE: Preparing for the Possibility of a North Korean Collapse DPRK: China Bans Certain North Korean Exports for Fear of Weapons Use ENERGY SECURITY: IPCC Head Warns on Himalayan Melting Glaciers GOVERNANCE AND CIVIL SOCIETY: With Reunion Cancellation, Seoul Rejects Tourism Talks CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: Public Risks and the Challenges to Climate-Change Adaptation: A Proposed Framework For Planning in the […]

Technical Bulletin #59 on Prohibition of Dual Use Exports to North Korea

Penglai (China) Quarantine officers monitor North Korean ships for nuclear radiation upon entry in March 2013. (http://www.penglai.sdciq.gov.cn/zwpd/xwbd/xwbd/201303/t20130318_48189.htm)

This Special Report takes an incisive look into Technical Bulletin #59 on Prohibition of Dual Use Exports to North Korea, the recently released 236 page list of items Chinese companies and individuals are banned from trading with North Korea.
Click here to read a translatable version of the original list on the Nautilus website. 

Click here to read the original list posted to the Ministry of Commerce of the Peoples Republic of China website. 
Roger Cavazos is a Nautilus Institute Associate and a retired military officer with assignments in the U.S.intelligence and policy communities.
Peter Hayes is Professor of International Relations, School of Global, Urban and Social Studies, Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology University, Australia and Director, Nautilus Institute.

David von Hippel is a Nautilus Institute Senior Associate with work centered on energy and environmental issues in Asia, and particularly in Northeast Asia.