Weekly Report

Deterrence

The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF-T) Treaty eliminated entire classes of US and FSU nuclear missiles. INF-T should be broadened and converted into a global prohibition on ground-launched ballistic and cruise missiles with 500-5500 km range.

DPRK

North Korea is significantly isolated and has only limited incentives to follow the rules; North Korea’s behavior increased policy deconfliction and even created nascent cooperation between the U.S, South Korea and China. An avian influenza outbreak has the potential to cut trade flows more thoroughly than any sanction and will raise the price of trade. North Korea de-politicized a hostage crisis by using an academic to say that an American held hostage was seeking amnesty.

Energy Security

What is one to do with professors’ professing and prophecies? Is the sky not falling, or will it still remain sky high? Some say “The incredible list of supposed horrors that increasing carbon dioxide will bring the world is pure belief disguised as science.” Or are the sheep are racing toward the wolf? Some say reaching the 400 ppm daily average of carbon in the atmosphere “feels like we’re moving into another era.” And another, ““I feel like the time to do something was yesterday.” NYT reporter condemns us all: “Virtually every automobile ride, every plane trip and, in most places, every flip of a light switch adds carbon dioxide to the air...” As if the sheep are running to the wolf.

Governance and Civil Society

ROK President Park addressed a joint session of the US Congress during her first visit to the US, stressing the importance of the US-ROK alliance and her commitment to deal strongly with the DPRK. Park’s “trustpolitik” approach to the DPRK appears to have been favorably received by the US. ROK-Japan relations, however, remain troubled, as issues of history continue to be a sticking point between the two countries.

Climate Change Adaptation

Disaster risk can be significantly reduced through strategies that seek to decrease vulnerability and exposure to hazards within wider efforts to address poverty and inequality. Humanitarian responses to disasters and other crises can be designed and implemented in ways that protect the affected people’s right to life and other basic rights in the short and longer term.

Austral Peace and Security

The guided-missile frigate HMAS Sydney is about to join the US Seventh Fleet in Japan at a time of heightened tensions on the Korean peninsula and in the South China Sea. The warship will be “embedded” with a US aircraft carrier strike group operating out of Yokosuka. The deployment comes as the Gillard government is working to manage Australia's relationships with China and the US. “Australia has made it clear we stand shoulder to shoulder with the Republic of Korea, also with Japan.”

Policy Forum

A Northeast Asian Regional Security Framework: Does it Work?

Michael Green, Senior Advisor and Japan Chair Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS), makes a point as moderator for a session during the Breaking the Gridlock Workshop in October 2012.

Michael Green: The short answer to the question posed in the title is: yes, it could work –but the bar will have to be high. ...

May 21, 2013

Climate Adaptation Challenges and Urban Insecurity

Image source: Pakistan Defense

In light of a range of difficult domestic problems, including terrorism, poverty, poor governance, Saleem Janjua writes "climate c ...

May 16, 2013

Nuclear Knock-On Effects

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-hypersonic-test-20130504,0,1579818.stor

Peter Hayes writes that automatic budget cuts in the US will result in the shrinking of the US strategic triad. He writes “each ...

May 9, 2013

Special Reports

Handbook to Support Assessment of Radiological Ri...

May 14, 2013

Commercial nuclear power plants around the world harness nuclear fission to produce electricity. At each plant, a fission reactor receives fresh nuclear fuel and ...

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Propaganda, Fire-Thrashing, and the Risk of North...

April 10, 2013

In this report, Peter Hayes and Roger Cavazos “examine one North Korean account of the limited war it might fight to occupy Seoul, including the use of nuclear ...

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Consideration of the Possibility of Deep Borehole...

March 12, 2013 | Tags: deep borehole, energy, ...

In the following report, Tomochika Tokunaga provides an overview of the applicability of deep borehole disposal for radioactive waste in Japan. Tokunaga summarize...

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The ROK’s Nuclear Energy Development and Spent ...

January 22, 2013

In this report Jungmin Kang reviews the current status of and future prospects for nuclear power in the Republic of Korea. The ROK’s current nuclear capacity of...

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Foundations of Energy Security for the DPRK: 1990...

December 18, 2012

The purpose of this report is to provide policy-makers and other interested parties with an overview of the demand for and supply of the various forms of energy u...

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The “Joint Facilities” Revisited – Desmond ...

December 11, 2012

Richard Tanter examines Ball’s writings on these facilities, setting them in the wider context of Ball’s work on nuclear targeting, the transnational UKUSA in...

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Summary Report: A New Approach to Security in Nor...

November 20, 2012

This summary report is based on the New Approach to Security in Northeast Asia: Breaking the Gridlock workshop, which convened senior international experts in th...

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An Initial Exploration of the Potential for Deep ...

October 23, 2012

Although China’s nuclear power industry is relatively young, and the management of its spent nuclear fuel and nuclear waste is not yet a major concern, China’...

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Recent Comments

Alexander Vorontsov - Author

First of all you would like to express my sincere...

Apr 16 2013 on Why is the Korea..

Lynn Turk, Senior Fellow - Pacific Century Institute

Overall Mr. Vorontsov's analysis is a useful one ...

Apr 16 2013 on Why is the Korea..

mark delmege

Talk should always be the first second and third ...

Apr 15 2013 on Rattling the Ame..

About Nautilus

Our mission: WE HOLD THAT IT IS POSSIBLE TO BUILD PEACE, CREATE SECURITY, AND RESTORE SUSTAINABILITY FOR ALL PEOPLE IN OUR TIME.

Since its founding in Berkeley, California in 1992, the Nautilus Institute has evolved into a thriving public policy think-tank and community resource. Along the way it has addressed critical security and sustainability issues such as the United States nuclear policy in Korea and the effect of the U.S.-China relationship on environmental insecurity. The Institute has built a reputation not only for innovative research and analysis of critical global problems, it also translates ideas into practical solutions, often with high impact.

The Institute convenes a community of scholars and practitioners who conduct research on strategies to solve interconnected global problems. Our Associates and Partners are located in Asia, North America, Europe, Australia and India. With our network of partner organizations and associates, we develop and apply these strategies to the linked threats of nuclear war, urban and energy insecurity, and climate change in the Asia Pacific region.

Nautilus encourages civil society to strengthen regional governance of these common problems and shared solutions.

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Nautilus in the News

Implementation of a NEA-NWFZ in China and North Korea, Peter Hayes, NPT Preparatory Committee NGO Workshop, 25 April 2013

April 25, 2013

Peter Hayes discusses the Implementation of a NEA-NWFZ in China and North Korea at The Future of the Peace Process and Prospects for a Nuclear Weapon Free Zone in Northeast Asia NPT Preparatory Committee NGO Workshop organized on the 60th anniversary ...

China no tiene la influencia ni el interés para resolver la crisis con Corea del Norte, Jose Reinoso, EL PAÍS,

April 13, 2013

Peter Hayes es cofundador y director de Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainability, un grupo de pensamiento no gubernamental, con sede en Berkeley (California), especializado en Asia, en particular, en Corea del Norte. También es profesor ...